Straight Elo value on MLB moneylines: bet either side when Elo win probability beats the best price by 4%.
baseball · Match winner (2-way) · status: live · betting forward from 2026-07-03 · same $1000 start as every other strategy
| Bet | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
San Francisco Giants win in San Francisco Giants v San Diego Padres · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.29 | $10.00 | 2.29 | $12.88 | +5% | — | pending |
Oakland Athletics win in Oakland Athletics v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.29 | $10.00 | 2.29 | $12.88 | +7% | — | pending |
Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.83 | $10.00 | 1.83 | $8.27 | +10% | — | pending |
Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v Cincinnati Reds · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.57 | $10.00 | 1.57 | $5.71 | +10% | — | pending |
Miami Marlins win in Miami Marlins v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.89 | $10.00 | 2.89 | $18.95 |
| — |
| pending |
Washington Nationals win in Washington Nationals v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.76 | $10.00 | 1.76 | $7.63 | +4% | — | pending |
Chicago Cubs win in Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.86 | $10.00 | 1.86 | $8.61 | +14% | — | pending |
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.70 | $10.00 | 1.70 | $7.03 | +17% | — | pending |
St. Louis Cardinals win in St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.98 | $10.00 | 1.98 | $9.80 | +8% | — | pending |
Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 | $10.00 | 1.79 | $7.94 | +8% | — | pending |
Oakland Athletics win in Oakland Athletics v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.40 | $10.00 | 2.40 | $13.99 | +12% | — | pending |
New York Yankees win in New York Yankees v New York Mets · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.65 | $10.00 | 1.65 | $6.48 | +5% | +6.48 | won |
Boston Red Sox win in Boston Red Sox v Kansas City Royals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.57 | $10.00 | 1.57 | $5.71 | +5% | -10.00 | lost |
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.60 | $10.00 | 1.60 | $5.96 | +10% | +5.96 | won |
Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v Cincinnati Reds · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.52 | $10.00 | 1.52 | $5.24 | +6% | +5.24 | won |
Philadelphia Phillies win in Atlanta Braves v Philadelphia Phillies · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.24 | $10.00 | 2.24 | $12.36 | +6% | -10.00 | lost |
Miami Marlins win in Miami Marlins v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 3.08 | $10.00 | 3.08 | $20.77 | +29% | -10.00 | lost |
Toronto Blue Jays win in Toronto Blue Jays v Baltimore Orioles · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.76 | $10.00 | 1.76 | $7.63 | +5% | -10.00 | lost |
Chicago Cubs win in Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.76 | $10.00 | 1.76 | $7.63 | +9% | +7.63 | won |
Chicago White Sox win in Chicago White Sox v Pittsburgh Pirates · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.86 | $10.00 | 1.86 | $8.61 | +5% | -10.00 | lost |
Atlanta Braves win in Atlanta Braves v Tampa Bay Rays · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.83 | $10.00 | 1.83 | $8.27 | +5% | +8.27 | won |
New York Yankees win in New York Yankees v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.38 | $10.00 | 1.38 | $3.80 | +6% | +3.80 | won |
Texas Rangers win in Seattle Mariners v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.34 | $10.00 | 2.34 | $13.42 | +6% | -10.00 | lost |
San Francisco Giants win in San Francisco Giants v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.05 | $10.00 | 2.05 | $10.51 | +5% | +10.51 | won |
Cincinnati Reds win in Los Angeles Dodgers v Cincinnati Reds · Match winner (2-way) @ 3.40 | $10.00 | 3.40 | $24.00 | +6% | -10.00 | lost |
Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v Chicago Cubs · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.78 | $10.00 | 1.78 | $7.80 | +6% | +7.80 | won |
Baltimore Orioles win in Baltimore Orioles v Cleveland Guardians · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.96 | $10.00 | 1.96 | $9.60 | +8% | +9.60 | won |
Oakland Athletics win in Oakland Athletics v Toronto Blue Jays · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.66 | $10.00 | 2.66 | $16.59 | +6% | +16.59 | won |
Atlanta Braves win in Atlanta Braves v Tampa Bay Rays · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.83 | $10.00 | 1.83 | $8.27 | +4% | -10.00 | lost |
New York Yankees win in New York Yankees v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.48 | $10.00 | 1.48 | $4.80 | +13% | +4.80 | won |
Boston Red Sox win in Boston Red Sox v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.48 | $10.00 | 1.48 | $4.80 | +8% | -10.00 | lost |
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Minnesota Twins · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 | $10.00 | 1.79 | $7.94 | +6% | +7.94 | won |
Oakland Athletics win in Oakland Athletics v Toronto Blue Jays · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.62 | $10.00 | 2.62 | $16.20 | +4% | -10.00 | lost |
Cincinnati Reds win in Los Angeles Dodgers v Cincinnati Reds · Match winner (2-way) @ 3.66 | $10.00 | 3.66 | $26.57 | +13% | -10.00 | lost |
Chicago Cubs win in Milwaukee Brewers v Chicago Cubs · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.73 | $10.00 | 2.73 | $17.33 | +13% | -10.00 | lost |
Atlanta Braves win in Atlanta Braves v Tampa Bay Rays · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.90 | $10.00 | 1.90 | $8.96 | +8% | -10.00 | lost |
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Minnesota Twins · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 | $10.00 | 1.79 | $7.94 | +5% | -10.00 | lost |
Philadelphia Phillies win in Philadelphia Phillies v Houston Astros · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.70 | $10.00 | 1.70 | $7.03 | +6% | -10.00 | lost |
New York Yankees win in New York Yankees v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.38 | $10.00 | 1.38 | $3.80 | +6% | +3.80 | won |
Boston Red Sox win in Boston Red Sox v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.60 | $10.00 | 1.60 | $5.96 | +15% | -10.00 | lost |
Oakland Athletics win in Oakland Athletics v Toronto Blue Jays · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.89 | $10.00 | 2.89 | $18.90 | +15% | +18.90 | won |
St. Louis Cardinals win in San Francisco Giants v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.18 | $10.00 | 2.18 | $11.80 | +7% | -10.00 | lost |
Atlanta Braves win in Philadelphia Phillies v Atlanta Braves · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.52 | $10.00 | 2.52 | $15.20 | +8% | -10.00 | lost |
Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v Chicago Cubs · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.76 | $10.00 | 1.76 | $7.63 | +5% | +7.63 | won |
Los Angeles Dodgers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v Cincinnati Reds · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.57 | $10.00 | 1.57 | $5.71 | +9% | +5.71 | won |
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Minnesota Twins · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 | $10.00 | 1.79 | $7.94 | +5% | +7.94 | won |
Boston Red Sox win in Boston Red Sox v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.55 | $10.00 | 1.55 | $5.47 | +12% | +5.47 | won |
Los Angeles Dodgers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v Washington Nationals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.51 | $10.00 | 1.51 | $5.10 | +6% | +5.10 | won |
Houston Astros win in Houston Astros v Arizona Diamondbacks · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.94 | $10.00 | 1.94 | $9.40 | +6% | -10.00 | lost |
Miami Marlins win in Miami Marlins v Chicago Cubs · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.27 | $10.00 | 2.27 | $12.70 | +4% | +12.70 | won |
Baltimore Orioles win in Baltimore Orioles v Boston Red Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.20 | $10.00 | 2.20 | $12.00 | +5% | -10.00 | lost |
St. Louis Cardinals win in Colorado Rockies v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 | $10.00 | 1.79 | $7.94 | +8% | +7.94 | won |
Philadelphia Phillies win in Philadelphia Phillies v Atlanta Braves · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.93 | $10.00 | 1.93 | $9.32 | +11% | -10.00 | lost |
Oakland Athletics win in Seattle Mariners v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 3.18 | $10.00 | 3.18 | $21.80 | +8% | +21.80 | won |
St. Louis Cardinals win in Colorado Rockies v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 | $10.00 | 1.79 | $7.94 | +8% | -10.00 | lost |
Miami Marlins win in Miami Marlins v Chicago Cubs · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.24 | $10.00 | 2.24 | $12.36 | +7% | -10.00 | lost |
Toronto Blue Jays win in Kansas City Royals v Toronto Blue Jays · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.01 | $10.00 | 2.01 | $10.10 | +4% | +10.10 | won |
San Francisco Giants win in New York Mets v San Francisco Giants · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.46 | $10.00 | 2.46 | $14.59 | +4% | +14.59 | won |
Miami Marlins win in Miami Marlins v Chicago Cubs · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.24 | $10.00 | 2.24 | $12.36 | +7% | -10.00 | lost |
Chicago White Sox win in Chicago White Sox v Minnesota Twins · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 | $10.00 | 1.79 | $7.94 | +8% | -10.00 | lost |
Baltimore Orioles win in Baltimore Orioles v Boston Red Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.29 | $10.00 | 2.29 | $12.88 | +12% | -10.00 | lost |
St. Louis Cardinals win in Colorado Rockies v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 | $10.00 | 1.79 | $7.94 | +6% | +7.94 | won |
Washington Nationals win in Los Angeles Dodgers v Washington Nationals · Match winner (2-way) @ 3.80 | $10.00 | 3.80 | $28.00 | +13% | -10.00 | lost |
San Diego Padres win in San Diego Padres v New York Yankees · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.09 | $10.00 | 2.09 | $10.95 | +8% | +10.95 | won |
Chicago White Sox win in Chicago White Sox v Minnesota Twins · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.76 | $10.00 | 1.76 | $7.63 | +6% | +7.63 | won |
San Francisco Giants win in New York Mets v San Francisco Giants · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.52 | $10.00 | 2.52 | $15.22 | +6% | -10.00 | lost |
Philadelphia Phillies win in Philadelphia Phillies v Atlanta Braves · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.86 | $10.00 | 1.86 | $8.61 | +9% | -10.00 | lost |
Toronto Blue Jays win in Kansas City Royals v Toronto Blue Jays · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.09 | $10.00 | 2.09 | $10.95 | +6% | +10.95 | won |
Chicago White Sox win in Houston Astros v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.34 | $10.00 | 2.34 | $13.42 | +7% | -10.00 | lost |
Cleveland Guardians win in Cleveland Guardians v Toronto Blue Jays · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.02 | $10.00 | 2.02 | $10.20 | +11% | -10.00 | lost |
Baltimore Orioles win in Baltimore Orioles v Boston Red Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.20 | $10.00 | 2.20 | $12.00 | +7% | -10.00 | lost |
St. Louis Cardinals win in Los Angeles Dodgers v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 3.18 | $10.00 | 3.18 | $21.78 | +6% | +21.78 | won |
St. Louis Cardinals win in Los Angeles Dodgers v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 3.40 | $10.00 | 3.40 | $24.00 | +13% | -10.00 | lost |
Kansas City Royals win in Kansas City Royals v Miami Marlins · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.01 | $10.00 | 2.01 | $10.10 | +7% | +10.10 | won |
Texas Rangers win in Texas Rangers v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.60 | $10.00 | 1.60 | $5.96 | +5% | -10.00 | lost |
Cleveland Guardians win in Cleveland Guardians v Toronto Blue Jays · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.05 | $10.00 | 2.05 | $10.51 | +10% | -10.00 | lost |
New York Yankees win in Los Angeles Angels v New York Yankees · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | $10.00 | 1.62 | $6.21 | +6% | +6.21 | won |
Chicago Cubs win in Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.14 | $10.00 | 2.14 | $11.40 | +7% | -10.00 | lost |
Boston Red Sox win in Boston Red Sox v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.70 | $10.00 | 1.70 | $7.03 | +11% | -10.00 | lost |
Houston Astros win in Houston Astros v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.93 | $10.00 | 1.93 | $9.32 | +5% | -10.00 | lost |
Baltimore Orioles win in Colorado Rockies v Baltimore Orioles · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.73 | $10.00 | 1.73 | $7.32 | +7% | -10.00 | lost |
Baltimore Orioles win in Colorado Rockies v Baltimore Orioles · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.74 | $10.00 | 1.74 | $7.40 | +8% | -10.00 | lost |
Milwaukee Brewers win in Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.11 | $10.00 | 2.11 | $11.10 | +5% | +11.10 | won |
Los Angeles Dodgers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.57 | $10.00 | 1.57 | $5.71 | +5% | -10.00 | lost |
Tampa Bay Rays win in Tampa Bay Rays v New York Mets · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.76 | $10.00 | 1.76 | $7.63 | +8% | +7.63 | won |
Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Philadelphia Phillies · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.14 | $10.00 | 2.14 | $11.40 | +8% | -10.00 | lost |
Toronto Blue Jays win in Cleveland Guardians v Toronto Blue Jays · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.46 | $10.00 | 2.46 | $14.59 | +14% | -10.00 | lost |
Boston Red Sox win in Boston Red Sox v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.73 | $10.00 | 1.73 | $7.32 | +13% | -10.00 | lost |
Washington Nationals win in Washington Nationals v Atlanta Braves · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.46 | $10.00 | 2.46 | $14.59 | +5% | +14.59 | won |
Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Philadelphia Phillies · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.08 | $10.00 | 2.08 | $10.80 | +5% | -10.00 | lost |
Washington Nationals win in Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.07 | $10.00 | 2.07 | $10.70 | +5% | +10.70 | won |
New York Yankees win in Los Angeles Angels v New York Yankees · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.65 | $10.00 | 1.65 | $6.48 | +4% | -10.00 | lost |
Atlanta Braves win in Atlanta Braves v San Francisco Giants · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.60 | $10.00 | 1.60 | $5.96 | +6% | -10.00 | lost |
Baltimore Orioles win in Colorado Rockies v Baltimore Orioles · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.70 | $10.00 | 1.70 | $7.03 | +4% | +7.03 | won |
Detroit Tigers win in Minnesota Twins v Detroit Tigers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.09 | $10.00 | 2.09 | $10.95 | +7% | -10.00 | lost |
Oakland Athletics win in Texas Rangers v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.89 | $10.00 | 2.89 | $18.95 | +5% | -10.00 | lost |
Boston Red Sox win in Boston Red Sox v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | $10.00 | 1.62 | $6.21 | +7% | +6.21 | won |
Chicago White Sox win in Minnesota Twins v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.05 | $10.00 | 2.05 | $10.50 | +8% | -10.00 | lost |
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.51 | $10.00 | 2.51 | $15.10 | +10% | -10.00 | lost |
Kansas City Royals win in Cleveland Guardians v Kansas City Royals · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.72 | $10.00 | 2.72 | $17.20 | +11% | -10.00 | lost |
"Model edge" = model probability × odds − 1 at the moment of betting: the profit the model expected per $1. Positive edge can still lose (single bets usually do) — the question is whether edges are positive on average AND the model's probabilities are honest.