The machine plays upcoming games thousands of times in fast-forward and counts the outcomes. Every run stores its full recipe (model, seed) so it can be reproduced bit-for-bit.
| What it simulated | What it found | Times played | When | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS fixtures sim 2026-07-14 (autopilot) model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 36 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 14 Jul | finished |
| WC fixtures sim 2026-07-14 (autopilot) model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 2 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 14 Jul | finished |
| MLS fixtures sim 2026-07-12 (autopilot) model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 36 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 12 Jul | finished |
| WC fixtures sim 2026-07-12 (autopilot) model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 2 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 12 Jul | finished |
| MLS fixtures sim 2026-07-11 (autopilot) model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 36 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 11 Jul | finished |
| WC fixtures sim 2026-07-11 (autopilot) model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 2 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 11 Jul | finished |
| MLS fixtures sim 2026-07-11 (autopilot) model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 36 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 11 Jul | finished |
| WC fixtures sim 2026-07-11 (autopilot) model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 2 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 11 Jul | finished |
| MLS fixtures sim 2026-07-10 (autopilot) model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 29 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 10 Jul | finished |
| WC fixtures sim 2026-07-10 (autopilot) model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 3 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 10 Jul | finished |
| run #38 model poisson_tw · seed 20260707 | 11 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 7 Jul | finished |
| run #37 model poisson_tw · seed 20260707 | 5 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 7 Jul | finished |
| WC retro sim 2026-07-06 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 3 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 6 Jul | finished |
| WC retro sim 2026-07-05 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 1 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 6 Jul | finished |
| WC retro sim 2026-07-04 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 3 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 6 Jul | finished |
| WC retro sim 2026-07-03 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 3 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 6 Jul | finished |
| WC retro sim 2026-07-02 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 3 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 6 Jul | finished |
| WC retro sim 2026-07-01 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 4 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 6 Jul | finished |
| WC retro sim 2026-06-30 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 3 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 6 Jul | finished |
| WC retro sim 2026-06-29 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 2 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 6 Jul | finished |
| WC retro sim 2026-06-28 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 3 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 6 Jul | finished |
| WC retro sim 2026-06-27 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 8 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 6 Jul | finished |
| WC retro sim 2026-06-26 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 6 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 6 Jul | finished |
| WC retro sim 2026-06-25 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 6 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 6 Jul | finished |
| MLS fixtures sim 2026-07-06 (first) model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 6 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 6 Jul | finished |
| WC fixtures sim 2026-07-05 (pre-slate) model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 7 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 5 Jul | finished |
| WC fixtures sim 2026-07-04 (Dixon-Coles v2) model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 6 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 4 Jul | finished |
| WC sim 2026-07-04 (bayes shrinkage) model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 6 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 4 Jul | finished |
| WC fixtures sim 2026-07-03 (autopilot bootstrap) model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 9 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 3 Jul | finished |
| WC 2026 knockout fixtures as of Jul 2 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | 12 upcoming matches priced | 10,000 | 2 Jul | finished |
| EPL 2025-26 season sim model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | Man City wins it 41% of the time | 10,000 | 2 Jul | finished |
| What it simulated | What it found | Times played | When | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WC retro sim 2026-06-24 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | — | 10,000 | 6 Jul | failed |
| WC retro sim 2026-06-23 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | — | 10,000 | 6 Jul | failed |
| WC retro sim 2026-06-22 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | — | 10,000 | 6 Jul | failed |
| WC retro sim 2026-06-21 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | — | 10,000 | 6 Jul | failed |
| WC retro sim 2026-06-20 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | — | 10,000 | 6 Jul | failed |
| WC retro sim 2026-06-19 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | — | 10,000 | 6 Jul | failed |
| WC retro sim 2026-06-18 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | — | 10,000 | 6 Jul | failed |
| WC retro sim 2026-06-17 |
| — |
| 10,000 |
| 6 Jul |
| failed |
| WC retro sim 2026-06-16 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | — | 10,000 | 6 Jul | failed |
| WC retro sim 2026-06-15 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | — | 10,000 | 6 Jul | failed |
| WC retro sim 2026-06-14 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | — | 10,000 | 6 Jul | failed |
| WC retro sim 2026-06-13 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | — | 10,000 | 6 Jul | failed |
| WC retro sim 2026-06-12 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | — | 10,000 | 6 Jul | failed |
| WC retro sim 2026-06-11 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | — | 10,000 | 6 Jul | failed |
| WC retro sim 2026-06-11 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | — | 10,000 | 6 Jul | failed |
| WC retro sim 2026-06-11 model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | — | 10,000 | 6 Jul | failed |
| WC sim 2026-07-04 (bayes shrinkage) model poisson_tw · seed 424242 | — | 10,000 | 4 Jul | failed |