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MLS fixtures sim 2026-10-26 (autopilot)

← all runs · poisson_tw v2 · 10,000 iterations · seed 424242 · as of 2026-10-26

Who wins each match

DateStageMatchHomeDrawAway3+ goalsBTTS
10/26/2026regularLos Angeles FC v Los Angeles Galaxy
65.6%
19.3%
15.2%
65%58%
10/28/2026regularToronto FC v DC United
47.5%
26.0%
26.5%
51%54%
10/28/2026regularNew York City FC v Atlanta United FC
58.8%
23.1%
18.1%
53%52%
10/28/2026regularNew England Revolution v New York Red Bulls
45.3%
25.1%
29.6%
56%59%
10/28/2026regularInter Miami v FC Cincinnati
61.5%
17.5%
21.0%
82%76%
10/28/2026regularCharlotte v CF Montreal
58.2%
23.1%
18.7%
54%53%
10/29/2026regularFC Dallas v Columbus Crew
44.3%
24.7%
31.0%
58%61%
10/29/2026regularChicago Fire v Orlando City SC
50.5%
21.5%
27.9%
71%70%
10/29/2026regularMinnesota United FC v Sporting Kansas City
64.0%
20.1%
15.9%
63%57%
10/29/2026regularNashville SC v Philadelphia Union
47.9%
25.9%
26.2%
51%54%
10/29/2026regularAustin v Real Salt Lake
36.7%
26.7%
36.6%
51%56%
10/29/2026regularSt. Louis City v Portland Timbers
44.1%
24.2%
31.7%
61%63%
10/29/2026regularSeattle Sounders v Houston Dynamo
49.1%
26.8%
24.1%
46%49%
10/29/2026regularSan Jose Earthquakes v Colorado Rapids
51.4%
22.5%
26.0%
65%65%
10/29/2026regularVancouver Whitecaps v San Diego
53.3%
22.6%
24.0%
63%62%
10/31/2026regularCharlotte v Orlando City SC
49.8%
23.4%
26.8%
62%62%
10/31/2026regularNew York City FC v CF Montreal
61.0%
22.3%
16.7%
54%52%
10/31/2026regularSporting Kansas City v FC Dallas
29.5%
23.6%
46.9%
63%64%
10/31/2026regularColumbus Crew v DC United
64.8%
19.8%
15.5%
63%57%
10/31/2026regularFC Cincinnati v Philadelphia Union
46.2%
23.1%
30.7%
66%66%
10/31/2026regularSt. Louis City v San Diego
35.1%
24.5%
40.4%
61%63%
10/31/2026regularSan Jose Earthquakes v Real Salt Lake
45.6%
23.8%
30.5%
62%64%
10/31/2026regularLos Angeles Galaxy v Austin
53.5%
23.2%
23.4%
60%60%
11/1/2026regularColorado Rapids v Chicago Fire
42.5%
24.1%
33.4%
62%64%
11/1/2026regularVancouver Whitecaps v Seattle Sounders
54.4%
24.3%
21.3%
53%53%
11/1/2026regularAtlanta United FC v Toronto FC
45.4%
26.7%
27.8%
48%53%
11/1/2026regularLos Angeles FC v Minnesota United FC
59.2%
22.9%
18.0%
54%53%
11/1/2026regularNashville SC v New York Red Bulls
55.9%
23.8%
20.3%
54%54%
11/2/2026regularNew England Revolution v Inter Miami
31.8%
22.0%
46.2%
71%71%
11/2/2026regularPortland Timbers v Houston Dynamo
46.3%
25.0%
28.7%
56%59%
11/5/2026regularNew York City FC v Los Angeles FC
34.4%
27.1%
38.5%
49%54%
11/7/2026regularOrlando City SC v New England Revolution
51.1%
22.7%
26.2%
65%64%
11/7/2026regularPhiladelphia Union v Toronto FC
59.4%
23.0%
17.6%
53%52%
11/7/2026regularNew York Red Bulls v Atlanta United FC
52.5%
23.9%
23.6%
57%58%
11/7/2026regularChicago Fire v Columbus Crew
42.5%
23.8%
33.7%
64%65%
11/7/2026regularCF Montreal v Vancouver Whitecaps
22.7%
23.5%
53.9%
58%58%
11/7/2026regularDC United v New York City FC
29.6%
26.2%
44.2%
52%56%
11/7/2026regularFC Cincinnati v Nashville SC
42.4%
24.6%
33.0%
60%62%
11/7/2026regularInter Miami v Charlotte
60.0%
19.8%
20.2%
71%67%
11/8/2026regularSeattle Sounders v Los Angeles FC
34.5%
27.5%
38.0%
48%53%
11/8/2026regularFC Dallas v Colorado Rapids
53.8%
23.3%
22.9%
59%59%
11/8/2026regularHouston Dynamo v St. Louis City
48.3%
25.6%
26.1%
52%55%
11/8/2026regularReal Salt Lake v Los Angeles Galaxy
49.7%
23.7%
26.6%
60%61%
11/8/2026regularMinnesota United FC v San Jose Earthquakes
50.1%
23.5%
26.4%
61%62%
11/8/2026regularAustin v Portland Timbers
38.5%
25.2%
36.3%
57%61%
11/8/2026regularSan Diego v Sporting Kansas City
72.9%
15.6%
11.5%
73%61%

Specthe reproducible recipe — same spec + seed = identical run

{
  "to": "2026-11-11",
  "from": "2026-10-26",
  "kind": "fixtures",
  "name": "MLS fixtures sim 2026-10-26 (autopilot)",
  "as_of": "2026-10-26",
  "model": {
    "shrinkage": 2
  },
  "competition": "MLS"
}