← Major League Soccer 2026 · Thu, Oct 29, 02:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
San Jose Earthquakes win in San Jose Earthquakes v Colorado Rapids · Match result @ 2.23 | Portfolio | $6.77 | 2.23 | $8.33 | +6% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes win | 39% | 51% | 21.00 | value: +980% |
| Draw | 33% | 23% | 3.90 | fair |
| Colorado Rapids win | 28% | 26% | 23.00 | value: +499% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 65% | 1.57 | fair |
| Under | 41% | 35% | 2.31 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids win | 2.85 | 18.00 | +531.6% | |
| Draw | 3.65 | 1.06 | -71.0% | |
| San Jose Earthquakes win | 2.25 | 14.00 | +522.2% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | PayPal Park |