← Major League Soccer 2026 · Thu, Oct 29, 12:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw in Minnesota United FC v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 5.50 | Portfolio | $1.19 | 5.50 | $5.35 | +4% | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in Minnesota United FC v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.75 | Portfolio | $1.00 | 6.75 | $5.75 | +2% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota United FC win | 67% | 64% | 1.45 | fair |
| Draw | 18% | 20% | 5.50 | value: +10% |
| Sporting Kansas City win | 15% | 16% | 6.75 | value: +8% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City win | 6.10 | 6.50 | +6.6% | |
| Draw | 5.10 | 5.30 | +3.9% | |
| Minnesota United FC win | 1.41 | 1.40 | -0.7% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Allianz Field |