← Major League Soccer 2026 · Thu, Oct 29, 12:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Orlando City SC win in Chicago Fire v Orlando City SC · Match result @ 4.60 | Portfolio | $5.20 | 4.60 | $18.72 | +13% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire win | 59% | 51% | 1.66 | fair |
| Orlando City SC win | 21% | 28% | 5.10 | value: +42% |
| Draw | 20% | 22% | 5.15 | value: +11% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC win | 4.20 | 4.70 | +11.9% | |
| Draw | 4.40 | 4.85 | +10.2% | |
| Chicago Fire win | 1.65 | 1.56 | -5.5% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Soldier Field |