← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sat, Oct 31, 06:00 PM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: CF Montreal win in New York City FC v CF Montreal · Match result @ 7.00 leg 2: Draw in Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas · Match result @ 4.31 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 30.17 | $145.85 | +19% | — | pending |
CF Montreal win in New York City FC v CF Montreal · Match result @ 7.00 | Portfolio | $1.68 | 7.00 | $10.08 | +7% | — | pending |
leg 1: CF Montreal win in New York City FC v CF Montreal · Match result @ 7.00 leg 2: Sporting Kansas City win in Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas · Match result @ 3.95 leg 3: FC Cincinnati win in FC Cincinnati v Philadelphia Union · Match result @ 2.50 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 69.13 | $136.25 | +58% | — | pending |
Draw in New York City FC v CF Montreal · Match result @ 5.10 | Dutch cover | $1.96 | 5.10 | $8.04 | — | — | pending |
CF Montreal win in New York City FC v CF Montreal · Match result @ 7.00 | Dutch cover | $18.04 | 7.00 | $108.24 | +17% | — | pending |
Draw in New York City FC v CF Montreal · Match result @ 5.10 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 5.10 | $20.50 | +14% | — | pending |
CF Montreal win in New York City FC v CF Montreal · Match result @ 7.00 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 7.00 | $30.00 | +17% | — | pending |
New York City FC win in New York City FC v CF Montreal · Match result @ 1.44 | Steam chaser | $5.00 | 1.44 | $2.20 | — | — | pending |
Under in New York City FC v CF Montreal · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.30 | WC KO unders | $10.00 | 2.30 | $13.00 | +5% | — | pending |
Draw in New York City FC v CF Montreal · Match result @ 5.10 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 5.10 | $20.50 | +14% | — | pending |
CF Montreal win in New York City FC v CF Montreal · Match result @ 7.00 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 7.00 | $30.00 | +17% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC win | 64% | 61% | 1.57 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 22% | 5.10 | value: +14% |
| CF Montreal win | 15% | 17% | 7.25 | value: +21% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 55% | 1.56 | fair |
| Under | 40% | 45% | 2.38 | value: +8% |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montreal win | 5.00 | 6.50 | +30.0% | |
| Draw | 4.10 | 4.85 | +18.3% | |
| New York City FC win | 1.57 | 1.43 | -8.9% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Yankee Stadium |