MLS forward trial: back any 1x2 selection where the fixtures sim beats the best price by 10%. Higher bar than WC — the sim is new to this league and MLS draws are notoriously frequent.
football · Match result · status: live · betting forward from 2026-07-07 · same $1000 start as every other strategy
| Bet | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
San Jose Earthquakes win in San Jose Earthquakes v Houston Dynamo · Match result @ 2.42 | $5.00 | 2.42 | $7.10 | +12% | — | pending |
New York City FC win in Real Salt Lake v New York City FC · Match result @ 4.10 | $5.00 | 4.10 | $15.50 | +30% | — | pending |
FC Dallas win in Minnesota United FC v FC Dallas · Match result @ 4.00 | $5.00 | 4.00 | $15.00 | +17% | — | pending |
Real Salt Lake win in Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 4.50 | $5.00 | 4.50 | $17.50 | +32% | — | pending |
Orlando City SC win in Atlanta United FC v Orlando City SC · Match result @ 3.20 | $5.00 | 3.20 | $11.00 | +18% | — | pending |
FC Cincinnati win in Philadelphia Union v FC Cincinnati · Match result @ 4.50 | $5.00 | 4.50 | $17.50 | +22% | — | pending |
Draw in Philadelphia Union v CF Montreal · Match result @ 5.33 | $5.00 | 5.33 | $21.65 | +12% | — | pending |
Los Angeles FC win in Real Salt Lake v Los Angeles FC · Match result @ 2.60 | $5.00 | 2.60 | $8.00 | +11% | — | pending |
New York City FC win in New York City FC v Nashville SC · Match result @ 2.65 | $5.00 | 2.65 | $8.25 | +10% | — | pending |
New York City FC win in Toronto FC v New York City FC · Match result @ 2.77 | $5.00 | 2.77 | $8.85 | +13% | — | pending |
Real Salt Lake win in Colorado Rapids v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 3.40 | $5.00 | 3.40 | $12.00 | +12% | — | pending |
San Jose Earthquakes win in Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes · Match result @ 4.75 | $5.00 | 4.75 | $18.75 | +35% | — | pending |
Los Angeles FC win in DC United v Los Angeles FC · Match result @ 2.05 | $5.00 | 2.05 | $5.25 | +16% | — | pending |
New York Red Bulls win in New York Red Bulls v Philadelphia Union · Match result @ 3.05 | $5.00 | 3.05 | $10.25 | +18% | — | pending |
New York City FC win in New England Revolution v New York City FC · Match result @ 3.08 | $5.00 | 3.08 | $10.40 | +11% | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in Atlanta United FC v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 4.60 | $5.00 | 4.60 | $18.00 | +11% | — | pending |
New York Red Bulls win in New York Red Bulls v Chicago Fire · Match result @ 2.88 | $5.00 | 2.88 | $9.40 | +27% | — | pending |
Los Angeles FC win in Colorado Rapids v Los Angeles FC · Match result @ 2.50 | $5.00 | 2.50 | $7.50 | +20% | — | pending |
FC Dallas win in Real Salt Lake v FC Dallas · Match result @ 4.00 | $5.00 | 4.00 | $15.00 | +22% | — | pending |
New England Revolution win in DC United v New England Revolution · Match result @ 3.25 | $5.00 | 3.25 | $11.25 | +18% | — | pending |
Orlando City SC win in Orlando City SC v Chicago Fire · Match result @ 2.87 | $5.00 | 2.87 | $9.35 | +36% | — | pending |
Draw in Chicago Fire v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 5.15 | $5.00 | 5.15 | $20.75 | +16% | — | pending |
Portland Timbers win in Chicago Fire v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 5.25 | $5.00 | 5.25 | $21.25 | +51% | — | pending |
New England Revolution win in Toronto FC v New England Revolution · Match result @ 3.38 | $5.00 | 3.38 | $11.90 | +14% | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in Colorado Rapids v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 5.75 | $5.00 | 5.75 | $23.75 | +16% | — | pending |
Minnesota United FC win in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Match result @ 4.65 | $5.00 | 4.65 | $18.25 | +37% | — | pending |
New York Red Bulls win in Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 3.54 | $5.00 | 3.54 | $12.70 | +21% | — | pending |
Real Salt Lake win in St. Louis City v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 3.50 | $5.00 | 3.50 | $12.50 | +12% | -5.00 | lost |
Columbus Crew win in Inter Miami v Columbus Crew · Match result @ 4.96 | $5.00 | 4.96 | $19.80 | +12% | -5.00 | lost |
New England Revolution win in CF Montreal v New England Revolution · Match result @ 3.54 | $5.00 | 3.54 | $12.70 | +26% | -5.00 | lost |
Austin win in Colorado Rapids v Austin · Match result @ 4.50 | $5.00 | 4.50 | $17.50 | +14% | -5.00 | lost |
San Diego win in Minnesota United FC v San Diego · Match result @ 3.50 | $5.00 | 3.50 | $12.50 | +22% | -5.00 | lost |
Sporting Kansas City win in Sporting Kansas City v Houston Dynamo · Match result @ 3.36 | $5.00 | 3.36 | $11.80 | +16% | -5.00 | lost |
Draw in Chicago Fire v Charlotte · Match result @ 4.87 | $5.00 | 4.87 | $19.35 | +19% | -5.00 | lost |
Charlotte win in Chicago Fire v Charlotte · Match result @ 5.50 | $5.00 | 5.50 | $22.50 | +68% | -5.00 | lost |
Nashville SC win in DC United v Nashville SC · Match result @ 2.39 | $5.00 | 2.39 | $6.95 | +13% | -5.00 | lost |
Los Angeles FC win in Vancouver Whitecaps v Los Angeles FC · Match result @ 4.00 | $5.00 | 4.00 | $15.00 | +20% | -5.00 | lost |
Portland Timbers win in Portland Timbers v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 2.48 | $5.00 | 2.48 | $7.40 | +11% | +7.40 | won |
Sporting Kansas City win in Los Angeles FC v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 12.00 | $5.00 | 12.00 | $55.00 | +17% | -5.00 | lost |
San Diego win in San Diego v FC Dallas · Match result @ 2.12 | $5.00 | 2.12 | $5.60 | +13% | +5.60 | won |
Minnesota United FC win in Minnesota United FC v Vancouver Whitecaps · Match result @ 3.85 | $5.00 | 3.85 | $14.25 | +31% | -5.00 | lost |
Austin win in Houston Dynamo v Austin · Match result @ 5.00 | $5.00 | 5.00 | $20.00 | +24% | -5.00 | lost |
Inter Miami win in CF Montreal v Inter Miami · Match result @ 2.17 | $5.00 | 2.17 | $5.85 | +20% | +5.85 | won |
New York City FC win in New York City FC v Chicago Fire · Match result @ 2.38 | $5.00 | 2.38 | $6.90 | +19% | +6.90 | won |
Orlando City SC win in Orlando City SC v Nashville SC · Match result @ 3.23 | $5.00 | 3.23 | $11.15 | +19% | +11.15 | won |
FC Cincinnati win in Columbus Crew v FC Cincinnati · Match result @ 4.10 | $5.00 | 4.10 | $15.50 | +12% | -5.00 | lost |
Orlando City SC win in San Jose Earthquakes v Orlando City SC · Match result @ 5.30 | $5.00 | 5.30 | $21.50 | +29% | +21.50 | won |
New York Red Bulls win in Philadelphia Union v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 4.75 | $5.00 | 4.75 | $18.75 | +14% | -5.00 | lost |
San Diego win in Colorado Rapids v San Diego · Match result @ 3.20 | $5.00 | 3.20 | $11.00 | +37% | -5.00 | lost |
CF Montreal win in Nashville SC v CF Montreal · Match result @ 7.50 | $5.00 | 7.50 | $32.50 | +10% | -5.00 | lost |
Sporting Kansas City win in Sporting Kansas City v Minnesota United FC · Match result @ 3.65 | $5.00 | 3.65 | $13.25 | +13% | +13.25 | won |
FC Cincinnati win in FC Cincinnati v Vancouver Whitecaps · Match result @ 4.00 | $5.00 | 4.00 | $15.00 | +33% | +15.00 | won |
Draw in Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 5.02 | $5.00 | 5.02 | $20.10 | +19% | -5.00 | lost |
Portland Timbers win in Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 6.00 | $5.00 | 6.00 | $25.00 | +17% | +25.00 | won |
Draw in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 5.20 | $5.00 | 5.20 | $21.00 | +13% | -5.00 | lost |
Sporting Kansas City win in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.80 | $5.00 | 6.80 | $29.00 | +46% | -5.00 | lost |
Switzerland win in Switzerland v Colombia · Match result @ 3.65 | $5.00 | 3.65 | $13.25 | +56% | +0.00 | void |
Draw in Argentina v Egypt · Match result @ 5.00 | $5.00 | 5.00 | $20.00 | +48% | +0.00 | void |
Egypt win in Argentina v Egypt · Match result @ 10.00 | $5.00 | 10.00 | $45.00 | +95% | +0.00 | void |
"Model edge" = model probability × odds − 1 at the moment of betting: the profit the model expected per $1. Positive edge can still lose (single bets usually do) — the question is whether edges are positive on average AND the model's probabilities are honest.