MLS forward trial: back any 1x2 selection where the fixtures sim beats the best price by 10%. Higher bar than WC — the sim is new to this league and MLS draws are notoriously frequent.
football · Match result · status: live · betting forward from 2026-07-07 · same $1000 start as every other strategy
| Bet | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw in Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 5.02 | $5.00 | 5.02 | $20.10 | +19% | — | pending |
Portland Timbers win in Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 6.00 | $5.00 | 6.00 | $25.00 | +17% | — | pending |
Draw in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 5.20 | $5.00 | 5.20 | $21.00 | +13% | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.80 | $5.00 | 6.80 | $29.00 | +46% | — | pending |
Switzerland win in Switzerland v Colombia · Match result @ 3.65 | $5.00 | 3.65 | $13.25 | +56% | +0.00 | void |
Draw in Argentina v Egypt · Match result @ 5.00 | $5.00 | 5.00 | $20.00 | +48% | +0.00 | void |
Egypt win in Argentina v Egypt · Match result @ 10.00 | $5.00 | 10.00 | $45.00 | +95% | +0.00 | void |
"Model edge" = model probability × odds − 1 at the moment of betting: the profit the model expected per $1. Positive edge can still lose (single bets usually do) — the question is whether edges are positive on average AND the model's probabilities are honest.