← Major League Soccer 2026 · Fri, Jul 17, 02:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Sporting Kansas City win in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.80 leg 2: Portland Timbers win in Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 6.00 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 40.80 | $199.00 | +71% | — | pending |
leg 1: Sporting Kansas City win in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.80 leg 2: Portland Timbers win in Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 6.00 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 40.80 | $199.00 | +71% | — | pending |
leg 1: Sporting Kansas City win in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.80 leg 2: Under in Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 3.06 leg 3: Philadelphia Phillies win in Philadelphia Phillies v New York Mets · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.65 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 34.28 | $66.57 | +130% | — | pending |
Draw in Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 5.02 | Dutch cover | $1.99 | 5.02 | $8.00 | — | — | pending |
Portland Timbers win in Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 6.00 | Dutch cover | $18.01 | 6.00 | $90.05 | +17% | — | pending |
Draw in Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 5.02 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 5.02 | $20.10 | +19% | — | pending |
Portland Timbers win in Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 6.00 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 6.00 | $25.00 | +17% | — | pending |
Draw in Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 5.02 | WC sim value kor | $4.78 | 5.02 | $19.22 | +19% | — | pending |
Portland Timbers win in Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 6.00 | WC sim value kor | $3.49 | 6.00 | $17.45 | +17% | — | pending |
Under in Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 3.06 | WC KO unders | $10.00 | 3.06 | $20.60 | +44% | — | pending |
Draw in Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 5.02 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 5.02 | $20.10 | +19% | — | pending |
Portland Timbers win in Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 6.00 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 6.00 | $25.00 | +17% | — | pending |
Draw in Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 5.02 | WC sim value | $10.00 | 5.02 | $40.20 | +19% | — | pending |
Portland Timbers win in Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 6.00 | WC sim value | $10.00 | 6.00 | $50.00 | +17% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders win | 64% | 57% | 1.52 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 24% | 5.02 | value: +19% |
| Portland Timbers win | 17% | 20% | 6.75 | value: +32% |
across 13 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 68% | 53% | 1.47 | fair |
| Under | 32% | 47% | 3.06 | value: +44% |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says |
|---|
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers win | 5.53 | 5.65 | +2.2% | |
| Draw | 4.65 | 4.75 | +2.2% | |
| Seattle Sounders win | 1.46 | 1.45 | -0.7% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Lumen Field |
| Model says |
|---|
| Best price |
|---|
| Verdict |
|---|
| Yes | 61% | 53% | 1.55 | fair |
| No | 39% | 47% | 2.55 | value: +21% |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 | 53% | 1.77 |
| Under 9.5 | 47% | 2.01 |
across 4 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed) · most-quoted line shown — 2 other lines captured
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 | 55% | 1.72 |
| Over 4.5 | 45% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)