← Major League Soccer 2026 · Fri, Jul 17, 12:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Sporting Kansas City win in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.80 leg 2: Portland Timbers win in Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 6.00 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 40.80 | $199.00 | +71% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in CF Montreal v Toronto FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.38 leg 2: Under in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 3.02 | Simple parlay | $5.00 | 7.19 | $30.94 | +18% | — | pending |
leg 1: Sporting Kansas City win in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.80 leg 2: Portland Timbers win in Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 6.00 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 40.80 | $199.00 | +71% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in CF Montreal v Toronto FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.38 leg 2: Under in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 3.02 | Simple parlay | $5.00 | 7.19 | $30.94 | +18% | — | pending |
leg 1: Sporting Kansas City win in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.80 leg 2: Under in Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 3.06 leg 3: Philadelphia Phillies win in Philadelphia Phillies v New York Mets · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.65 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 34.28 | $66.57 | +130% | — | pending |
Draw in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 5.20 | Dutch cover | $1.92 | 5.20 | $8.06 | — | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.80 | Dutch cover | $18.08 | 6.80 | $104.86 | +46% | — | pending |
Draw in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 5.20 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 5.20 | $21.00 | +13% | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.80 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 6.80 | $29.00 | +46% | — | pending |
Draw in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 5.20 | WC sim value kor | $3.06 | 5.20 | $12.85 | +13% | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.80 | WC sim value kor | $8.10 | 6.80 | $46.98 | +46% | — | pending |
Under in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 3.02 | WC KO unders | $10.00 | 3.02 | $20.20 | +8% | — | pending |
Draw in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 5.20 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 5.20 | $21.00 | +13% | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.80 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 6.80 | $29.00 | +46% | — | pending |
Draw in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 5.20 | WC sim value | $10.00 | 5.20 | $42.00 | +13% | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Match result @ 6.80 | WC sim value | $10.00 | 6.80 | $58.00 | +46% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City win | 66% | 57% | 1.48 | fair |
| Draw | 19% | 22% | 5.20 | value: +13% |
| Sporting Kansas City win | 15% | 21% | 7.40 | value: +59% |
across 13 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 68% | 64% | 1.44 | fair |
| Under | 32% | 36% | 3.02 | value: +8% |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says |
|---|
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City win | 6.00 | 6.10 | +1.7% | |
| Draw | 4.90 | 5.00 | +2.0% | |
| St. Louis City win | 1.43 | 1.42 | -0.7% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | CITYPARK |
| Model says |
|---|
| Best price |
|---|
| Verdict |
|---|
| Yes | 61% | 62% | 1.60 | fair |
| No | 39% | 38% | 2.45 | fair |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 10 | 50% | 1.88 |
| Under 10 | 50% | 1.92 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed) · most-quoted line shown — 2 other lines captured
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 | 56% | 1.68 |
| Over 4.5 | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)