Simple 2-leg parlay of the day's PROVEN-class bets only (ko unders, ref-gated cards over, style-gated corners over — the classes that are 11-for-13 live). Two +EV legs compound edge multiplicatively; small flat stake because variance compounds too. Legs come from bets the proven strategies actually placed today.
football · parlay · status: live · betting forward from 2026-07-07 · same $1000 start as every other strategy
| Bet | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Under in DC United v Atlanta United FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.28 leg 2: Under in Real Salt Lake v New York City FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.40 | $5.00 | 5.47 | $22.36 | +25% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in DC United v Atlanta United FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.28 leg 2: Under in Real Salt Lake v New York City FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.40 | $5.00 | 5.47 | $22.36 | +25% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in Toronto FC v Nashville SC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.16 leg 2: Under in Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.30 | $5.00 | 4.97 | $19.84 | +42% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in Toronto FC v Nashville SC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.16 leg 2: Under in Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.30 | $5.00 | 4.97 | $19.84 | +42% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in Toronto FC v New York City FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.18 leg 2: Under in Colorado Rapids v Real Salt Lake · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.38 | $5.00 | 5.19 | $20.94 | +32% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in Toronto FC v New York City FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.18 leg 2: Under in Colorado Rapids v Real Salt Lake · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.38 | $5.00 | 5.19 | $20.94 | +32% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in Minnesota United FC v Atlanta United FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.28 leg 2: Under in Colorado Rapids v Los Angeles FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.28 | $5.00 | 5.20 | $20.99 | +9% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in Minnesota United FC v Atlanta United FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.28 leg 2: Under in Colorado Rapids v Los Angeles FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.28 | $5.00 | 5.20 | $20.99 | +9% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in Toronto FC v New England Revolution · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 leg 2: Under in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.25 | $5.00 | 4.72 | $18.63 | +21% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in Toronto FC v New England Revolution · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 leg 2: Under in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.25 | $5.00 | 4.72 | $18.63 | +21% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in Philadelphia Union v Atlanta United FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.41 lost leg 2: Under in New York Red Bulls v Orlando City SC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 3.50 lost | $5.00 | 8.44 | $37.18 | +31% | -5.00 | lost |
leg 1: Under in Philadelphia Union v Atlanta United FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.41 lost leg 2: Under in New York Red Bulls v Orlando City SC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 3.50 lost | $5.00 | 8.44 | $37.18 | +31% | -5.00 | lost |
leg 1: Under in Los Angeles FC v Sporting Kansas City · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 3.70 lost leg 2: Under in Portland Timbers v Real Salt Lake · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.88 lost | $5.00 | 10.66 | $48.28 | +33% | -5.00 | lost |
leg 1: Under in New York Red Bulls v Charlotte · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.55 won leg 2: Under in Columbus Crew v FC Cincinnati · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 3.10 lost | $5.00 | 7.91 | $34.52 | +21% | -5.00 | lost |
leg 1: Under in New York Red Bulls v Charlotte · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.55 won leg 2: Under in Columbus Crew v FC Cincinnati · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 3.10 lost | $5.00 | 7.91 | $34.52 | +21% | -5.00 | lost |
leg 1: Over 5.5 in Botafogo FR v EC Vitória · Over/Under total cards @ 2.20 lost leg 2: Under in Los Angeles FC v Real Salt Lake · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.61 lost | $5.00 | 5.74 | $23.71 | — | -5.00 | lost |
leg 1: Under in Philadelphia Union v New York Red Bulls · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.70 lost leg 2: Under in New England Revolution v Toronto FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 won | $5.00 | 5.67 | $23.35 | +21% | -5.00 | lost |
leg 1: Under in Philadelphia Union v New York Red Bulls · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.70 lost leg 2: Under in New England Revolution v Toronto FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 won | $5.00 | 5.67 | $23.35 | +21% | -5.00 | lost |
leg 1: Under in France v England · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.75 lost leg 2: Under in Spain v Argentina · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 1.72 won | $5.00 | 4.73 | $18.65 | +47% | -5.00 | lost |
leg 1: Under in CF Montreal v Toronto FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.38 won leg 2: Under in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 3.02 lost | $5.00 | 7.19 | $30.94 | +18% | -5.00 | lost |
leg 1: Under in CF Montreal v Toronto FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.38 won leg 2: Under in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 3.02 lost | $5.00 | 7.19 | $30.94 | +18% | -5.00 | lost |
leg 1: Over in Argentina v Egypt · Over/Under total cards @ 2.05 lost leg 2: Under in Switzerland v Colombia · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 1.62 won | $5.00 | 3.32 | $11.61 | — | -5.00 | lost |
"Model edge" = model probability × odds − 1 at the moment of betting: the profit the model expected per $1. Positive edge can still lose (single bets usually do) — the question is whether edges are positive on average AND the model's probabilities are honest.