Simple 2-leg parlay of the day's PROVEN-class bets only (ko unders, ref-gated cards over, style-gated corners over — the classes that are 11-for-13 live). Two +EV legs compound edge multiplicatively; small flat stake because variance compounds too. Legs come from bets the proven strategies actually placed today.
football · parlay · status: live · betting forward from 2026-07-07 · same $1000 start as every other strategy
| Bet | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Under in CF Montreal v Toronto FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.38 leg 2: Under in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 3.02 | $5.00 | 7.19 | $30.94 | +18% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in CF Montreal v Toronto FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.38 leg 2: Under in St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 3.02 | $5.00 | 7.19 | $30.94 | +18% | — | pending |
leg 1: Over in Argentina v Egypt · Over/Under total cards @ 2.05 lost leg 2: Under in Switzerland v Colombia · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 1.62 won | $5.00 | 3.32 | $11.61 | — | -5.00 | lost |
"Model edge" = model probability × odds − 1 at the moment of betting: the profit the model expected per $1. Positive edge can still lose (single bets usually do) — the question is whether edges are positive on average AND the model's probabilities are honest.