← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sun, Aug 30, 01:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Draw in Minnesota United FC v Orlando City SC · Match result @ 4.30 leg 2: Draw in Colorado Rapids v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 4.00 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 17.20 | $81.00 | +4% | — | pending |
Real Salt Lake win in Colorado Rapids v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 3.80 | Portfolio | $8.18 | 3.80 | $22.90 | +11% | — | pending |
Draw in Colorado Rapids v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 4.00 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 4.00 | $15.00 | +3% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in Toronto FC v New York City FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.18 leg 2: Under in Colorado Rapids v Real Salt Lake · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.38 | Simple parlay | $5.00 | 5.19 | $20.94 | +32% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in Toronto FC v New York City FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.18 leg 2: Under in Colorado Rapids v Real Salt Lake · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.38 | Simple parlay | $5.00 | 5.19 | $20.94 | +32% | — | pending |
Draw in Colorado Rapids v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 3.80 | Dutch cover | $2.63 | 3.80 | $7.36 | — | — | pending |
Real Salt Lake win in Colorado Rapids v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 3.40 | Dutch cover | $17.37 | 3.40 | $41.69 | +12% | — | pending |
Real Salt Lake win in Colorado Rapids v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 3.40 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 3.40 | $12.00 | +12% | — | pending |
Colorado Rapids win in Colorado Rapids v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 2.05 | Steam chaser | $5.00 | 2.05 | $5.25 | — | — | pending |
Under in Colorado Rapids v Real Salt Lake · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.38 | WC KO unders | $10.00 | 2.38 | $13.80 | +9% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids win | 47% | 41% | 2.30 | fair |
| Real Salt Lake win | 28% | 33% | 3.80 | value: +25% |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | 4.00 | value: +3% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 54% | 1.57 | fair |
| Under | 41% | 46% | 2.38 | value: +9% |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake win | 2.80 | 3.75 | +33.9% | |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.90 | +6.8% | |
| Colorado Rapids win | 2.28 | 1.89 | -17.1% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Dick's Sporting Goods Park |