← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sun, Sep 13, 01:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: New York City FC win in Real Salt Lake v New York City FC · Match result @ 4.10 leg 2: CF Montreal win in Colorado Rapids v CF Montreal · Match result @ 4.60 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 18.86 | $89.30 | +36% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in DC United v Atlanta United FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.28 leg 2: Under in Real Salt Lake v New York City FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.40 | Simple parlay | $5.00 | 5.47 | $22.36 | +25% | — | pending |
leg 1: New York City FC win in Real Salt Lake v New York City FC · Match result @ 4.10 leg 2: CF Montreal win in Colorado Rapids v CF Montreal · Match result @ 4.60 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 18.86 | $89.30 | +36% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in DC United v Atlanta United FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.28 leg 2: Under in Real Salt Lake v New York City FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.40 | Simple parlay | $5.00 | 5.47 | $22.36 | +25% | — | pending |
leg 1: New York City FC win in Real Salt Lake v New York City FC · Match result @ 4.10 leg 2: Miami Marlins win in Miami Marlins v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.89 leg 3: Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.83 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 21.68 | $41.36 | +73% | — | pending |
Draw in Real Salt Lake v New York City FC · Match result @ 3.70 | Dutch cover | $2.70 | 3.70 | $7.29 | — | — | pending |
New York City FC win in Real Salt Lake v New York City FC · Match result @ 4.10 | Dutch cover | $17.30 | 4.10 | $53.63 | +30% | — | pending |
New York City FC win in Real Salt Lake v New York City FC · Match result @ 4.10 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 4.10 | $15.50 | +30% | — | pending |
Real Salt Lake win in Real Salt Lake v New York City FC · Match result @ 1.97 | Steam chaser | $5.00 | 1.97 | $4.85 | — | — | pending |
Under in Real Salt Lake v New York City FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.40 | WC KO unders | $10.00 | 2.40 | $14.00 | +22% | — | pending |
New York City FC win in Real Salt Lake v New York City FC · Match result @ 4.10 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 4.10 | $15.50 | +30% | — | pending |
New York City FC win in Real Salt Lake v New York City FC · Match result @ 4.10 | Portfolio | $7.32 | 4.10 | $22.69 | +14% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake win | 49% | 41% | 2.14 | fair |
| New York City FC win | 26% | 32% | 4.10 | value: +30% |
| Draw | 25% | 27% | 3.90 | value: +5% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 49% | 1.61 | fair |
| Under | 41% | 51% | 2.40 | value: +22% |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC win | 3.05 | 3.75 | +23.0% | |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.50 | -4.1% | |
| Real Salt Lake win | 2.12 | 1.95 | -8.0% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | America First Field |