← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sun, Sep 13, 01:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: New York City FC win in Real Salt Lake v New York City FC · Match result @ 4.10 leg 2: CF Montreal win in Colorado Rapids v CF Montreal · Match result @ 4.60 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 18.86 | $89.30 | +36% | — | pending |
leg 1: New York City FC win in Real Salt Lake v New York City FC · Match result @ 4.10 leg 2: CF Montreal win in Colorado Rapids v CF Montreal · Match result @ 4.60 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 18.86 | $89.30 | +36% | — | pending |
Under in Colorado Rapids v CF Montreal · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.38 | WC KO unders | $10.00 | 2.38 | $13.80 | +2% | — | pending |
CF Montreal win in Colorado Rapids v CF Montreal · Match result @ 4.60 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 4.60 | $18.00 | +5% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids win | 56% | 54% | 1.76 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | 4.20 | fair |
| CF Montreal win | 21% | 23% | 5.00 | value: +14% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 57% | 1.61 | fair |
| Under | 40% | 43% | 2.38 | fair |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montreal win | 4.25 | 4.40 | +3.5% | |
| Draw | 3.90 | 4.00 | +2.6% | |
| Colorado Rapids win | 1.72 | 1.71 | -0.6% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Dick's Sporting Goods Park |