← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sat, Sep 12, 11:30 PM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Under in DC United v Atlanta United FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.28 leg 2: Under in Real Salt Lake v New York City FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.40 | Simple parlay | $5.00 | 5.47 | $22.36 | +25% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in DC United v Atlanta United FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.28 leg 2: Under in Real Salt Lake v New York City FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.40 | Simple parlay | $5.00 | 5.47 | $22.36 | +25% | — | pending |
Under in DC United v Atlanta United FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.28 | WC KO unders | $10.00 | 2.28 | $12.80 | +2% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DC United win | 44% | 43% | 2.38 | fair |
| Atlanta United FC win | 31% | 31% | 3.25 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 3.89 | fair |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 55% | 1.62 | fair |
| Under | 42% | 45% | 2.33 | value: +5% |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC win | 3.25 | 2.94 | -9.5% | |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.70 | +1.4% | |
| DC United win | 2.05 | 2.20 | +7.3% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Audi Field |