Arizona Diamondbacks v Texas Rangers

← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Sep 13, 12:10 AM UTC · scheduled

Riding on this matchevery paper bet with a leg in this game

Bet	Strategy	Stake	Odds	To win	Model edge	P&L	Status
leg 1: New York City FC win in Real Salt Lake v New York City FC · Match result @ 4.10 leg 2: Miami Marlins win in Miami Marlins v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.89 leg 3: Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.83	Chaos parlay	$2.00	21.68	$41.36	+73%	—	pending
Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.83	Elo value MLB	$10.00	1.83	$8.27	+10%	—	pending

The betting picturemarket vs our model, market by market

“Market” = what bookmaker prices imply after removing their margin — the world's best guess. “Model” = our simulation. A bet is only interesting when the model sees something meaningfully more likely than the market does (the edge) — it's never about picking the winner.

Who wins?

Outcome	Market says	Best price
Arizona Diamondbacks win	52%	1.83
Texas Rangers win	48%	2.19

across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Price movement — Match winner (2-way)

Outcome	Trend	First	Now	Move
Texas Rangers win		1.90	2.19	+15.4%
Arizona Diamondbacks win		1.79	1.70	-5.1%

daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.