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Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC

← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sun, Aug 16, 01:30 AM UTC · scheduled

Riding on this matchevery paper bet with a leg in this game

BetStrategyStakeOddsTo winModel edgeP&LStatus
leg 1: Draw in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Match result @ 4.00
leg 2: Portland Timbers win in Chicago Fire v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 5.25
WC parlay$5.0021.00$100.00+59%—pending
Draw in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Match result @ 4.00
WC upset hunter$5.004.00$15.00+6%—pending
leg 1: Draw in Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 4.10
leg 2: Minnesota United FC win in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Match result @ 4.65
WC parlay$5.0019.07$90.33+45%—pending
leg 1: Under in Toronto FC v New England Revolution · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10
leg 2: Under in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.25
Simple parlay$5.004.72$18.63+21%—pending
leg 1: Draw in Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 4.10
leg 2: Minnesota United FC win in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Match result @ 4.65
WC parlay$5.0019.07$90.33+45%—pending
leg 1: Under in Toronto FC v New England Revolution · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10
leg 2: Under in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.25
Simple parlay$5.004.72$18.63+21%—pending
leg 1: Minnesota United FC win in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Match result @ 4.65
leg 2: New York Red Bulls win in Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 3.54
leg 3: Los Angeles Dodgers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v Milwaukee Brewers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.09
Chaos parlay$2.0034.48$66.96+96%—pending
Draw in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Match result @ 3.90
Dutch cover$2.563.90$7.42——pending
Minnesota United FC win in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Match result @ 4.65
Dutch cover$17.444.65$63.66+37%—pending
Minnesota United FC win in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Match result @ 4.65
Mls sim value$5.004.65$18.25+37%—pending
Under in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.25
WC KO unders$10.002.25$12.50+12%—pending
Minnesota United FC win in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Match result @ 4.65
WC upset hunter$5.004.65$18.25+37%—pending
Under in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.30
Main (your slate bets)$22.622.30$29.41+15%—pending
Minnesota United FC win in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Match result @ 4.33
Main (your slate bets)$22.624.33$75.32+28%—pending
Minnesota United FC win in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Match result @ 4.65
Portfolio$12.554.65$45.81+16%—pending

The betting picturemarket vs our model, market by market

“Market” = what bookmaker prices imply after removing their margin — the world's best guess. “Model” = our simulation. A bet is only interesting when the model sees something meaningfully more likely than the market does (the edge) — it's never about picking the winner.

Who wins? (90 minutes)

OutcomeMarket saysModel saysBest priceVerdict
Real Salt Lake win54%44%1.83fair
Draw24%26%4.30value: +14%
Minnesota United FC win21%29%5.00value: +47%

across 15 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Will there be 3 or more goals?

OutcomeMarket saysModel saysBest priceVerdict
Over59%50%1.62fair
Under41%50%2.35value: +16%

across 7 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Will both teams score?

OutcomeMarket says

Price movement — Match result

OutcomeTrendFirstNowMove
Minnesota United FC win4.404.60+4.5%
Draw4.103.86-5.9%
Real Salt Lake win1.671.72+3.0%

daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.

Everything else we hold on this match · 1 more recorded fact — tap to expand
venueAmerica First Field
Model says
Best price
Verdict
Yes58%55%1.62fair
No42%45%2.30value: +4%

across 5 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)