← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Aug 15, 11:15 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Jacob Misiorowski (ERA 1.76, WHIP 0.74) · home: Justin Wrobleski (ERA 3.44, WHIP 1.11)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Minnesota United FC win in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Match result @ 4.65 leg 2: New York Red Bulls win in Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 3.54 leg 3: Los Angeles Dodgers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v Milwaukee Brewers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.09 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 34.48 | $66.96 | +96% | — | pending |
Los Angeles Dodgers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v Milwaukee Brewers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.09 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 2.09 | $10.95 | +18% | -10.00 | lost |
Los Angeles Dodgers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v Milwaukee Brewers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.05 | Portfolio | $13.60 | 2.05 | $14.30 | +5% | -13.60 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers win | 54% | 1.83 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 46% | 2.14 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers win | 1.79 | 1.73 | -3.4% | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 1.97 | 2.09 | +6.3% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Los Angeles Dodgers | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1579.53 | 1566.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.20 | -9.76 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.30 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.60 |