← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sat, Aug 15, 11:30 PM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Red Bulls win in Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 3.15 | Steam chaser | $5.00 | 3.15 | $10.75 | — | — | pending |
leg 1: Draw in Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 4.10 leg 2: Minnesota United FC win in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Match result @ 4.65 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 19.07 | $90.33 | +45% | — | pending |
leg 1: Draw in Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 4.10 leg 2: Minnesota United FC win in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Match result @ 4.65 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 19.07 | $90.33 | +45% | — | pending |
leg 1: Minnesota United FC win in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Match result @ 4.65 leg 2: New York Red Bulls win in Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 3.54 leg 3: Los Angeles Dodgers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v Milwaukee Brewers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.09 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 34.48 | $66.96 | +96% | — | pending |
Draw in Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 4.10 | Dutch cover | $2.44 | 4.10 | $7.56 | — | — | pending |
New York Red Bulls win in Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 3.54 | Dutch cover | $17.56 | 3.54 | $44.60 | +21% | — | pending |
New York Red Bulls win in Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 3.54 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 3.54 | $12.70 | +21% | — | pending |
Draw in Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 4.10 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 4.10 | $15.50 | +6% | — | pending |
New York Red Bulls win in Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 3.54 | Portfolio | $8.96 | 3.54 | $22.76 | +8% | — | pending |
No in Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls · Both teams to score @ 2.62 | Main (your slate bets) | $17.02 | 2.62 | $27.57 | +9% | — | pending |
Under in Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.70 | Main (your slate bets) | $24.13 | 2.70 | $41.02 | +23% | — | pending |
New York Red Bulls win in Atlanta United FC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 3.75 | Main (your slate bets) | $24.13 | 3.75 | $66.36 | +29% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC win | 50% | 40% | 2.20 | fair |
| New York Red Bulls win | 27% | 34% | 3.85 | value: +32% |
| Draw | 23% | 26% | 4.20 | value: +8% |
across 15 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 55% | 1.50 | fair |
| Under | 35% | 45% | 2.70 | value: +22% |
across 4 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says |
|---|
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls win | 3.50 | 2.95 | -15.7% | |
| Draw | 4.20 | 3.80 | -9.5% | |
| Atlanta United FC win | 1.83 | 2.15 | +17.5% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Mercedes-Benz Stadium |
| Model says |
|---|
| Best price |
|---|
| Verdict |
|---|
| Yes | 65% | 59% | 1.45 | fair |
| No | 35% | 41% | 2.65 | value: +10% |
across 5 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)