← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sun, Aug 16, 10:30 PM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Draw in Chicago Fire v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 5.15 leg 2: Milwaukee Brewers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v Milwaukee Brewers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.59 leg 3: New York Yankees win in Toronto Blue Jays v New York Yankees · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.17 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 28.94 | $55.89 | +43% | — | pending |
Draw in Chicago Fire v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 5.15 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 5.15 | $20.75 | +16% | — | pending |
Chicago Fire win in Chicago Fire v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 1.53 | Steam chaser | $5.00 | 1.53 | $2.65 | — | — | pending |
leg 1: Draw in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Match result @ 4.00 leg 2: Portland Timbers win in Chicago Fire v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 5.25 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 21.00 | $100.00 | +59% | — | pending |
leg 1: Portland Timbers win in Chicago Fire v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 5.25 leg 2: San Francisco Giants win in San Francisco Giants v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 leg 3: Los Angeles Angels win in Los Angeles Angels v Kansas City Royals · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.05 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 19.32 | $36.65 | +95% | — | pending |
Draw in Chicago Fire v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 4.85 | Dutch cover | $2.06 | 4.85 | $7.93 | — | — | pending |
Portland Timbers win in Chicago Fire v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 5.25 | Dutch cover | $17.94 | 5.25 | $76.25 | +51% | — | pending |
Portland Timbers win in Chicago Fire v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 5.25 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 5.25 | $21.25 | +51% | — | pending |
Draw in Chicago Fire v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 4.85 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 4.85 | $19.25 | +9% | — | pending |
Portland Timbers win in Chicago Fire v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 5.25 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 5.25 | $21.25 | +51% | — | pending |
Portland Timbers win in Chicago Fire v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 5.25 | Portfolio | $5.49 | 5.25 | $23.33 | +23% | — | pending |
Portland Timbers win in Chicago Fire v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 4.33 | Main (your slate bets) | $21.47 | 4.33 | $71.50 | +25% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire win | 61% | 49% | 1.67 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 23% | 5.15 | value: +16% |
| Portland Timbers win | 19% | 29% | 5.60 | value: +61% |
across 15 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 69% | 67% | 1.37 | fair |
| Under | 31% | 33% | 3.10 | fair |
across 4 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says |
|---|
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers win | 4.40 | 5.40 | +22.7% | |
| Draw | 4.40 | 4.85 | +10.2% | |
| Chicago Fire win | 1.61 | 1.51 | -6.2% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Soldier Field |
| Model says |
|---|
| Best price |
|---|
| Verdict |
|---|
| Yes | 66% | 67% | 1.44 | fair |
| No | 34% | 33% | 2.80 | fair |
across 5 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)