← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Aug 16, 08:07 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Noah Cameron (ERA 4.45, WHIP 1.29) · home: Ryan Johnson (ERA 6.71, WHIP 1.56)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Portland Timbers win in Chicago Fire v Portland Timbers · Match result @ 5.25 leg 2: San Francisco Giants win in San Francisco Giants v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 leg 3: Los Angeles Angels win in Los Angeles Angels v Kansas City Royals · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.05 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 19.32 | $36.65 | +95% | — | pending |
Los Angeles Angels win in Los Angeles Angels v Kansas City Royals · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.05 | Drought fade | $10.00 | 2.05 | $10.51 | +8% | -10.00 | lost |
Los Angeles Angels win in Los Angeles Angels v Kansas City Royals · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.05 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 2.05 | $10.51 | +8% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals win | 53% | 1.86 |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals win | 1.73 | 1.79 | +3.5% | |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 1.93 | 2.05 | +6.2% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Los Angeles Angels | Kansas City Royals |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| elo | 1421.94 | 1440.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.03 | -3.66 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.50 |