Law-derived (winless-run replicates in 4 sports): bet AGAINST any side whose opponent... no — whose own winless run is 4+ games, when priced under 2.8. Fade the drought.
baseball · Match winner (2-way) · status: live · betting forward from 2026-07-03 · same $1000 start as every other strategy
| Bet | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | $10.00 | 1.62 | $6.21 | +13% | — | pending |
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.61 | $10.00 | 1.61 | $6.10 | +12% | — | pending |
San Diego Padres win in San Diego Padres v Washington Nationals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.57 | $10.00 | 1.57 | $5.71 | +2% | +5.71 | won |
San Diego Padres win in San Diego Padres v Washington Nationals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.55 | $10.00 | 1.55 | $5.47 | +0% | +5.47 | won |
Seattle Mariners win in Seattle Mariners v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.53 | $10.00 | 1.53 | $5.30 | +1% | -10.00 | lost |
Baltimore Orioles win in Colorado Rockies v Baltimore Orioles · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | $10.00 | 1.62 | $6.21 | +2% | -10.00 | lost |
Texas Rangers win in Texas Rangers v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.60 | $10.00 | 1.60 | $5.96 | +5% | -10.00 | lost |
New York Yankees win in Los Angeles Angels v New York Yankees · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | $10.00 | 1.62 | $6.21 | +6% | +6.21 | won |
Boston Red Sox win in Boston Red Sox v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.70 | $10.00 | 1.70 | $7.03 | +11% | -10.00 | lost |
Boston Red Sox win in Boston Red Sox v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.85 | $10.00 | 1.85 | $8.50 | +21% | -10.00 | lost |
New York Yankees win in Los Angeles Angels v New York Yankees · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.57 | $10.00 | 1.57 | $5.71 | +1% | +5.71 | won |
Detroit Tigers win in Minnesota Twins v Detroit Tigers · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.97 | $10.00 | 1.97 | $9.70 | +2% | -10.00 | lost |
Detroit Tigers win in Minnesota Twins v Detroit Tigers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.17 | $10.00 | 2.17 | $11.70 | +12% | -10.00 | lost |
Oakland Athletics win in Texas Rangers v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.97 | $10.00 | 2.97 | $19.70 | +7% | -10.00 | lost |
New York Yankees win in Los Angeles Angels v New York Yankees · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.65 | $10.00 | 1.65 | $6.48 | +4% | -10.00 | lost |
Washington Nationals win in Washington Nationals v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.86 | $10.00 | 1.86 | $8.61 | +23% | +8.61 | won |
Tampa Bay Rays win in Detroit Tigers v Tampa Bay Rays · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.09 | $10.00 | 2.09 | $10.90 | +2% | +10.90 | won |
Washington Nationals win in Washington Nationals v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.67 | $10.00 | 1.67 | $6.75 | +10% | -10.00 | lost |
Washington Nationals win in Washington Nationals v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.73 | $10.00 | 1.73 | $7.32 | +13% | -10.00 | lost |
Washington Nationals win in Washington Nationals v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.57 | $10.00 | 1.57 | $5.71 | +3% | +5.71 | won |
Houston Astros win in Houston Astros v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | $10.00 | 1.62 | $6.21 | +9% | -10.00 | lost |
Miami Marlins win in Miami Marlins v Washington Nationals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.73 | $10.00 | 1.73 | $7.32 | +3% | +7.32 | won |
Oakland Athletics win in Oakland Athletics v Texas Rangers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.23 | $10.00 | 2.23 | $12.30 | +3% | +12.30 | won |
Los Angeles Angels win in Los Angeles Angels v Kansas City Royals · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.05 | $10.00 | 2.05 | $10.51 | +8% | -10.00 | lost |
Houston Astros win in Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.70 | $10.00 | 1.70 | $7.03 | +0% | -10.00 | lost |
Pittsburgh Pirates win in Pittsburgh Pirates v Boston Red Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.30 | $10.00 | 2.30 | $13.00 | +3% | +13.00 | won |
Houston Astros win in Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 | $10.00 | 1.79 | $7.94 | +5% | +7.94 | won |
Toronto Blue Jays win in Toronto Blue Jays v Boston Red Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.45 | $10.00 | 2.45 | $14.50 | +18% | -10.00 | lost |
New York Yankees win in New York Yankees v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.70 | $10.00 | 1.70 | $7.03 | +8% | -10.00 | lost |
New York Yankees win in New York Yankees v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.85 | $10.00 | 1.85 | $8.50 | +17% | +8.50 | won |
Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.57 | $10.00 | 1.57 | $5.71 | +15% | +5.71 | won |
St. Louis Cardinals win in St. Louis Cardinals v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | $10.00 | 1.62 | $6.20 | +12% | +6.20 | won |
New York Mets win in Pittsburgh Pirates v New York Mets · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.25 | $10.00 | 2.25 | $12.50 | +0% | +12.50 | won |
Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.19 | $10.00 | 2.19 | $11.87 | +2% | +11.87 | won |
Boston Red Sox win in Boston Red Sox v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.46 | $10.00 | 1.46 | $4.59 | +8% | -10.00 | lost |
Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.34 | $10.00 | 2.34 | $13.42 | +9% | -10.00 | lost |
Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v Minnesota Twins · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | $10.00 | 1.62 | $6.21 | +13% | +6.21 | won |
Boston Red Sox win in Boston Red Sox v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.46 | $10.00 | 1.46 | $4.59 | +8% | -10.00 | lost |
Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v Minnesota Twins · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | $10.00 | 1.62 | $6.20 | +13% | -10.00 | lost |
Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Los Angeles Dodgers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.59 | $10.00 | 2.59 | $15.88 | +21% | +15.88 | won |
Boston Red Sox win in Boston Red Sox v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.36 | $10.00 | 1.36 | $3.62 | +0% | +3.62 | won |
Cincinnati Reds win in Cincinnati Reds v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.64 | $10.00 | 1.64 | $6.40 | +4% | +6.40 | won |
San Francisco Giants win in Texas Rangers v San Francisco Giants · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.46 | $10.00 | 2.46 | $14.59 | +10% | -10.00 | lost |
Philadelphia Phillies win in Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.65 | $10.00 | 1.65 | $6.48 | +7% | -10.00 | lost |
Cincinnati Reds win in Cincinnati Reds v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.70 | $10.00 | 1.70 | $7.03 | +6% | +7.03 | won |
Baltimore Orioles win in Baltimore Orioles v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | $10.00 | 1.62 | $6.21 | +9% | +6.21 | won |
San Francisco Giants win in Texas Rangers v San Francisco Giants · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.71 | $10.00 | 2.71 | $17.10 | +18% | -10.00 | lost |
Cincinnati Reds win in Cincinnati Reds v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.70 | $10.00 | 1.70 | $7.03 | +6% | +7.03 | won |
Baltimore Orioles win in Baltimore Orioles v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.67 | $10.00 | 1.67 | $6.75 | +13% | +6.75 | won |
Philadelphia Phillies win in Philadelphia Phillies v Washington Nationals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.70 | $10.00 | 1.70 | $7.00 | +9% | +7.00 | won |
Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v Pittsburgh Pirates · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.62 | $10.00 | 1.62 | $6.21 | +7% | -10.00 | lost |
Baltimore Orioles win in Baltimore Orioles v Philadelphia Phillies · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.22 | $10.00 | 2.22 | $12.20 | +15% | -10.00 | lost |
Kansas City Royals win in Colorado Rockies v Kansas City Royals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.93 | $10.00 | 1.93 | $9.32 | +7% | -10.00 | lost |
Kansas City Royals win in Colorado Rockies v Kansas City Royals · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.05 | $10.00 | 2.05 | $10.50 | +14% | -10.00 | lost |
Cincinnati Reds win in Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.05 | $10.00 | 2.05 | $10.51 | +2% | -10.00 | lost |
Philadelphia Phillies win in Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.00 | $10.00 | 2.00 | $10.00 | +7% | -10.00 | lost |
Cincinnati Reds win in Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.05 | $10.00 | 2.05 | $10.51 | +2% | +10.51 | won |
Los Angeles Dodgers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.48 | $10.00 | 1.48 | $4.80 | +1% | -10.00 | lost |
Texas Rangers win in Texas Rangers v Seattle Mariners · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.20 | $10.00 | 2.20 | $12.00 | +19% | +12.00 | won |
Miami Marlins win in Miami Marlins v Philadelphia Phillies · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.52 | $10.00 | 2.52 | $15.20 | +20% | +15.20 | won |
San Diego Padres win in Miami Marlins v San Diego Padres · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.15 | $10.00 | 2.15 | $11.50 | +2% | +11.50 | won |
Boston Red Sox win in Boston Red Sox v Toronto Blue Jays · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.76 | $10.00 | 1.76 | $7.63 | +11% | -10.00 | lost |
San Diego Padres win in Miami Marlins v San Diego Padres · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.19 | $10.00 | 2.19 | $11.87 | +1% | +11.87 | won |
Boston Red Sox win in Boston Red Sox v Toronto Blue Jays · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.82 | $10.00 | 1.82 | $8.20 | +15% | +8.20 | won |
San Diego Padres win in Miami Marlins v San Diego Padres · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.29 | $10.00 | 2.29 | $12.88 | +6% | +12.88 | won |
Cleveland Guardians win in Cleveland Guardians v Minnesota Twins · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.77 | $10.00 | 1.77 | $7.70 | +13% | -10.00 | lost |
Houston Astros win in Houston Astros v Miami Marlins · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.87 | $10.00 | 1.87 | $8.70 | +1% | +8.70 | won |
St. Louis Cardinals win in Los Angeles Angels v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.90 | $10.00 | 1.90 | $8.96 | +8% | +8.96 | won |
Toronto Blue Jays win in Toronto Blue Jays v Tampa Bay Rays · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.90 | $10.00 | 1.90 | $8.96 | +2% | -10.00 | lost |
Miami Marlins win in Houston Astros v Miami Marlins · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.16 | $10.00 | 2.16 | $11.60 | +2% | -10.00 | lost |
St. Louis Cardinals win in Los Angeles Angels v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.83 | $10.00 | 1.83 | $8.27 | +4% | -10.00 | lost |
Toronto Blue Jays win in Toronto Blue Jays v Tampa Bay Rays · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.93 | $10.00 | 1.93 | $9.32 | +4% | -10.00 | lost |
St. Louis Cardinals win in Los Angeles Angels v St. Louis Cardinals · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.07 | $10.00 | 2.07 | $10.70 | +18% | -10.00 | lost |
Arizona Diamondbacks win in Arizona Diamondbacks v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.67 | $10.00 | 1.67 | $6.75 | +7% | -10.00 | lost |
Milwaukee Brewers win in Milwaukee Brewers v Miami Marlins · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.79 | $10.00 | 1.79 | $7.90 | +18% | +7.90 | won |
Oakland Athletics win in Oakland Athletics v Washington Nationals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.97 | $10.00 | 1.97 | $9.70 | +3% | +9.70 | won |
Oakland Athletics win in Oakland Athletics v Washington Nationals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.97 | $10.00 | 1.97 | $9.70 | +3% | -10.00 | lost |
San Diego Padres win in Kansas City Royals v San Diego Padres · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.97 | $10.00 | 1.97 | $9.70 | +4% | +9.70 | won |
Washington Nationals win in Oakland Athletics v Washington Nationals · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.12 | $10.00 | 2.12 | $11.20 | +1% | -10.00 | lost |
Oakland Athletics win in Oakland Athletics v Washington Nationals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.93 | $10.00 | 1.93 | $9.32 | +1% | -10.00 | lost |
Chicago White Sox win in Chicago White Sox v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.89 | $10.00 | 1.89 | $8.90 | +13% | +8.90 | won |
Minnesota Twins win in Minnesota Twins v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.67 | $10.00 | 1.67 | $6.75 | +1% | +6.75 | won |
Miami Marlins win in Oakland Athletics v Miami Marlins · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.97 | $10.00 | 1.97 | $9.70 | +3% | — | pending |
Cincinnati Reds win in Cincinnati Reds v Baltimore Orioles · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.97 | $10.00 | 1.97 | $9.70 | +8% | +9.70 | won |
Miami Marlins win in Oakland Athletics v Miami Marlins · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.93 | $10.00 | 1.93 | $9.32 | +1% | +9.32 | won |
Miami Marlins win in Oakland Athletics v Miami Marlins · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.20 | $10.00 | 2.20 | $12.00 | +15% | +12.00 | won |
Cincinnati Reds win in Cincinnati Reds v Baltimore Orioles · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.10 | $10.00 | 2.10 | $11.00 | +15% | -10.00 | lost |
"Model edge" = model probability × odds − 1 at the moment of betting: the profit the model expected per $1. Positive edge can still lose (single bets usually do) — the question is whether edges are positive on average AND the model's probabilities are honest.