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Oakland Athletics v Miami Marlins

← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Jul 5, 08:30 PM UTC · scheduled

Probable pitchers: away: Eury Pérez (ERA 4.21, WHIP 1.21) · home: Gage Jump (ERA 2.93, WHIP 1.13)

Riding on this matchevery paper bet with a leg in this game

BetStrategyStakeOddsTo winModel edgeP&LStatus
Miami Marlins win in Oakland Athletics v Miami Marlins · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.97
Drought fade$10.001.97$9.70+3%—pending

The betting picturemarket vs our model, market by market

“Market” = what bookmaker prices imply after removing their margin — the world's best guess. “Model” = our simulation. A bet is only interesting when the model sees something meaningfully more likely than the market does (the edge) — it's never about picking the winner.

Who wins?

OutcomeMarket saysBest price
Oakland Athletics win52%1.79
Miami Marlins win48%1.97

across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)