← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sat, Aug 15, 11:30 PM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New England Revolution win in Toronto FC v New England Revolution · Match result @ 3.38 | Portfolio | $6.50 | 3.38 | $15.47 | +6% | — | pending |
leg 1: New England Revolution win in Toronto FC v New England Revolution · Match result @ 3.38 leg 2: Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.90 leg 3: Tampa Bay Rays win in Tampa Bay Rays v Baltimore Orioles · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.74 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 11.15 | $20.30 | +38% | — | pending |
New England Revolution win in Toronto FC v New England Revolution · Match result @ 3.38 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 3.38 | $11.90 | +14% | — | pending |
Toronto FC win in Toronto FC v New England Revolution · Match result @ 2.20 | Steam chaser | $5.00 | 2.20 | $6.00 | — | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in Toronto FC v New England Revolution · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 leg 2: Under in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.25 | Simple parlay | $5.00 | 4.72 | $18.63 | +21% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in Toronto FC v New England Revolution · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 leg 2: Under in Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.25 | Simple parlay | $5.00 | 4.72 | $18.63 | +21% | — | pending |
Draw in Toronto FC v New England Revolution · Match result @ 3.65 | Dutch cover | $2.74 | 3.65 | $7.26 | — | — | pending |
New England Revolution win in Toronto FC v New England Revolution · Match result @ 3.20 | Dutch cover | $17.26 | 3.20 | $37.97 | +8% | — | pending |
Under in Toronto FC v New England Revolution · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 | WC KO unders | $10.00 | 2.10 | $11.00 | +9% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC win | 43% | 39% | 2.35 | fair |
| New England Revolution win | 31% | 34% | 3.38 | value: +14% |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | 3.70 | fair |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 48% | 1.70 | fair |
| Under | 44% | 52% | 2.12 | value: +10% |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution win | 2.70 | 3.25 | +20.4% | |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.60 | -2.7% | |
| Toronto FC win | 2.35 | 2.11 | -10.2% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | BMO Field |