← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Aug 16, 05:40 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Sean Burke (ERA 2.99, WHIP 1.08) · home: Drew Anderson (ERA 3.91, WHIP 1.3)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.90 | Portfolio | $15.42 | 1.90 | $13.81 | +5% | -15.42 | lost |
leg 1: New England Revolution win in Toronto FC v New England Revolution · Match result @ 3.38 leg 2: Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.90 leg 3: Tampa Bay Rays win in Tampa Bay Rays v Baltimore Orioles · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.74 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 11.15 | $20.30 | +38% | — | pending |
Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Chicago White Sox · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.90 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.90 | $8.96 | +12% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers win | 51% | 3.52 |
| Chicago White Sox win | 49% | 2.01 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox win | 1.93 | 1.93 | 0.0% | |
| Detroit Tigers win | 1.70 | 1.91 | +12.1% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Detroit Tigers | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Detroit Tigers | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1520.71 | 1503.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.08 | 5.45 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 1.02 | 1.02 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.20 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.40 |