Colorado Rapids v Los Angeles FC

← Major League Soccer 2026 · Thu, Aug 20, 01:30 AM UTC · scheduled

Riding on this matchevery paper bet with a leg in this game

Bet	Strategy	Stake	Odds	To win	Model edge	P&L	Status
Los Angeles FC win in Colorado Rapids v Los Angeles FC · Match result @ 2.55	Portfolio	$16.40	2.55	$25.42	+10%	—	pending
leg 1: Under in Minnesota United FC v Atlanta United FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.28 leg 2: Under in Colorado Rapids v Los Angeles FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.28	Simple parlay	$5.00	5.20	$20.99	+9%	—	pending
leg 1: Under in Minnesota United FC v Atlanta United FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.28 leg 2: Under in Colorado Rapids v Los Angeles FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.28	Simple parlay	$5.00	5.20	$20.99	+9%	—	pending
Draw in Colorado Rapids v Los Angeles FC · Match result @ 3.60	Dutch cover	$2.78	3.60	$7.23	—	—	pending
Los Angeles FC win in Colorado Rapids v Los Angeles FC · Match result @ 2.50	Dutch cover	$17.22	2.50	$25.83	+20%	—	pending
Los Angeles FC win in Colorado Rapids v Los Angeles FC · Match result @ 2.50	Mls sim value	$5.00	2.50	$7.50	+20%	—	pending
Under in Colorado Rapids v Los Angeles FC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.28	WC KO unders	$10.00	2.28	$12.80	+2%	—	pending
Los Angeles FC win in Colorado Rapids v Los Angeles FC · Match result @ 2.30	Main (your slate bets)	$15.13	2.30	$19.67	+13%	—	pending

The betting picturemarket vs our model, market by market

“Market” = what bookmaker prices imply after removing their margin — the world's best guess. “Model” = our simulation. A bet is only interesting when the model sees something meaningfully more likely than the market does (the edge) — it's never about picking the winner.

Who wins? (90 minutes)

Outcome	Market says	Model says	Best price	Verdict
Los Angeles FC win	40%	48%	2.55	value: +22%
Colorado Rapids win	34%	27%	2.88	fair
Draw	26%	25%	3.80	fair

across 16 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Will there be 3 or more goals?

Outcome	Market says	Model says	Best price	Verdict
Over	58%	55%	1.65	fair
Under	42%	45%	2.30	fair

across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)

Will both teams score?

Outcome	Market says

Price movement — Match result

Outcome	First	Now	Move
Los Angeles FC win	2.31	2.45	+6.1%
Draw	3.67	3.55	-3.4%
Colorado Rapids win	2.67	2.70	+1.3%

daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.

Everything else we hold on this match · 1 more recorded fact — tap to expand

venue

Dick's Sporting Goods Park

Yes	61%	58%	1.53	fair
No	39%	42%	2.42	fair