← Major League Soccer 2026 · Wed, Sep 9, 11:30 PM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Under in Toronto FC v Nashville SC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.16 leg 2: Under in Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.30 | Simple parlay | $5.00 | 4.97 | $19.84 | +42% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in Toronto FC v Nashville SC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.16 leg 2: Under in Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.30 | Simple parlay | $5.00 | 4.97 | $19.84 | +42% | — | pending |
leg 1: Real Salt Lake win in Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 4.50 leg 2: FC Cincinnati win in Philadelphia Union v FC Cincinnati · Match result @ 4.50 leg 3: Under in Toronto FC v Nashville SC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.16 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 43.74 | $85.48 | +96% | — | pending |
Under in Toronto FC v Nashville SC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.16 | WC KO unders | $10.00 | 2.16 | $11.60 | +22% | — | pending |
Under in Toronto FC v Nashville SC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.16 | Portfolio | $11.95 | 2.16 | $13.86 | +8% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC win | 42% | 43% | 2.31 | fair |
| Toronto FC win | 32% | 29% | 3.17 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | 3.80 | value: +7% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 44% | 1.67 | fair |
| Under | 42% | 56% | 2.28 | value: +28% |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC win | 2.23 | 2.26 | +1.6% | |
| Draw | 3.67 | 3.50 | -4.8% | |
| Toronto FC win | 2.88 | 2.93 | +1.6% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | BMO Field |