← Major League Soccer 2026 · Thu, Sep 10, 12:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Draw in Philadelphia Union v FC Cincinnati · Match result @ 4.52 leg 2: Real Salt Lake win in Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 4.50 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 20.34 | $96.70 | +34% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in Toronto FC v Nashville SC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.16 leg 2: Under in Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.30 | Simple parlay | $5.00 | 4.97 | $19.84 | +42% | — | pending |
leg 1: Draw in Philadelphia Union v FC Cincinnati · Match result @ 4.52 leg 2: Real Salt Lake win in Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 4.50 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 20.34 | $96.70 | +34% | — | pending |
leg 1: Under in Toronto FC v Nashville SC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.16 leg 2: Under in Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.30 | Simple parlay | $5.00 | 4.97 | $19.84 | +42% | — | pending |
leg 1: Real Salt Lake win in Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 4.50 leg 2: FC Cincinnati win in Philadelphia Union v FC Cincinnati · Match result @ 4.50 leg 3: Under in Toronto FC v Nashville SC · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.16 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 43.74 | $85.48 | +96% | — | pending |
Draw in Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 4.00 | Dutch cover | $2.50 | 4.00 | $7.50 | — | — | pending |
Real Salt Lake win in Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 4.50 | Dutch cover | $17.50 | 4.50 | $61.25 | +32% | — | pending |
Real Salt Lake win in Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 4.50 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 4.50 | $17.50 | +32% | — | pending |
Under in Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.30 | WC KO unders | $10.00 | 2.30 | $13.00 | +17% | — | pending |
Draw in Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 4.00 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 4.00 | $15.00 | +7% | — | pending |
Real Salt Lake win in Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 4.50 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 4.50 | $17.50 | +32% | — | pending |
Real Salt Lake win in Houston Dynamo v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 4.50 | Portfolio | $6.99 | 4.50 | $24.46 | +14% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo win | 54% | 44% | 1.87 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 27% | 4.10 | value: +10% |
| Real Salt Lake win | 22% | 29% | 4.50 | value: +32% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 49% | 1.62 | fair |
| Under | 42% | 51% | 2.35 | value: +19% |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake win | 4.45 | 4.08 | -8.3% | |
| Draw | 3.95 | 3.85 | -2.5% | |
| Houston Dynamo win | 1.67 | 1.81 | +8.4% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Shell Energy Stadium |