← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sat, Oct 31, 06:00 PM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Draw in Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas · Match result @ 4.31 leg 2: Draw in Atlanta United FC v Toronto FC · Match result @ 4.00 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 17.24 | $81.20 | +9% | — | pending |
leg 1: CF Montreal win in New York City FC v CF Montreal · Match result @ 7.00 leg 2: Draw in Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas · Match result @ 4.31 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 30.17 | $145.85 | +19% | — | pending |
Draw in Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas · Match result @ 4.31 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 4.31 | $16.55 | +1% | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas · Match result @ 3.95 | Portfolio | $3.09 | 3.95 | $9.12 | +6% | — | pending |
leg 1: CF Montreal win in New York City FC v CF Montreal · Match result @ 7.00 leg 2: Sporting Kansas City win in Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas · Match result @ 3.95 leg 3: FC Cincinnati win in FC Cincinnati v Philadelphia Union · Match result @ 2.50 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 69.13 | $136.25 | +58% | — | pending |
Draw in Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas · Match result @ 4.15 | Dutch cover | $2.41 | 4.15 | $7.59 | — | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas · Match result @ 3.95 | Dutch cover | $17.59 | 3.95 | $51.89 | +16% | — | pending |
Sporting Kansas City win in Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas · Match result @ 3.95 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 3.95 | $14.75 | +16% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas win | 51% | 47% | 1.93 | fair |
| Sporting Kansas City win | 26% | 29% | 3.95 | value: +16% |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | 4.31 | fair |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas win | 1.93 | 1.82 | -5.7% | |
| Draw | 3.95 | 4.10 | +3.8% | |
| Sporting Kansas City win | 3.30 | 3.75 | +13.6% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.