← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sun, Nov 1, 09:30 PM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw in Nashville SC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 4.75 | Dutch cover | $2.11 | 4.75 | $7.91 | — | — | pending |
New York Red Bulls win in Nashville SC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 6.00 | Dutch cover | $17.89 | 6.00 | $89.45 | +22% | — | pending |
Draw in Nashville SC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 4.75 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 4.75 | $18.75 | +13% | — | pending |
New York Red Bulls win in Nashville SC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 6.00 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 6.00 | $25.00 | +22% | — | pending |
New York Red Bulls win in Nashville SC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 6.00 | Steam chaser | $5.00 | 6.00 | $25.00 | — | — | pending |
Draw in Nashville SC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 4.75 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 4.75 | $18.75 | +13% | — | pending |
New York Red Bulls win in Nashville SC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 6.00 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 6.00 | $25.00 | +22% | — | pending |
New York Red Bulls win in Nashville SC v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 6.00 | Portfolio | $2.57 | 6.00 | $12.85 | +9% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC win | 65% | 56% | 1.50 | fair |
| Draw | 19% | 24% | 5.60 | value: +33% |
| New York Red Bulls win | 16% | 20% | 7.50 | value: +53% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls win | 7.50 | 5.75 | -23.3% | |
| Draw | 5.60 | 4.75 | -15.2% | |
| Nashville SC win | 1.32 | 1.49 | +12.9% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Geodis Park |