← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sun, Nov 8, 12:00 AM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Draw in Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC · Match result @ 5.20 leg 2: FC Dallas win in FC Dallas v Colorado Rapids · Match result @ 2.10 leg 3: San Jose Earthquakes win in Minnesota United FC v San Jose Earthquakes · Match result @ 4.20 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 45.86 | $89.73 | +50% | — | pending |
Draw in FC Dallas v Colorado Rapids · Match result @ 3.85 | Dutch cover | $2.60 | 3.85 | $7.41 | — | — | pending |
FC Dallas win in FC Dallas v Colorado Rapids · Match result @ 2.10 | Dutch cover | $17.40 | 2.10 | $19.14 | +13% | — | pending |
FC Dallas win in FC Dallas v Colorado Rapids · Match result @ 2.10 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 2.10 | $5.50 | +13% | — | pending |
FC Dallas win in FC Dallas v Colorado Rapids · Match result @ 2.10 | Portfolio | $6.52 | 2.10 | $7.17 | +5% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas win | 46% | 54% | 2.15 | value: +16% |
| Colorado Rapids win | 29% | 23% | 3.55 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 23% | 3.87 | fair |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 59% | 1.64 | fair |
| Under | 42% | 41% | 2.23 | fair |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids win | 3.33 | 3.15 | -5.4% | |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.70 | 0.0% | |
| FC Dallas win | 1.99 | 2.10 | +5.5% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Toyota Stadium |