← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sat, Oct 31, 09:00 PM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw in San Jose Earthquakes v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 3.92 | Dutch cover | $2.55 | 3.92 | $7.45 | — | — | pending |
San Jose Earthquakes win in San Jose Earthquakes v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 2.32 | Dutch cover | $17.45 | 2.32 | $23.03 | +6% | — | pending |
Real Salt Lake win in San Jose Earthquakes v Real Salt Lake · Match result @ 2.75 | Steam chaser | $5.00 | 2.75 | $8.75 | — | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes win | 41% | 46% | 2.44 | value: +11% |
| Real Salt Lake win | 34% | 31% | 3.10 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | 4.01 | fair |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake win | 3.10 | 2.70 | -12.9% | |
| Draw | 3.95 | 3.80 | -3.8% | |
| San Jose Earthquakes win | 2.02 | 2.34 | +15.8% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | PayPal Park |