← Major League Soccer 2026 · Mon, Nov 2, 02:15 AM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw in Portland Timbers v Houston Dynamo · Match result @ 4.22 | Dutch cover | $2.37 | 4.22 | $7.63 | — | — | pending |
Houston Dynamo win in Portland Timbers v Houston Dynamo · Match result @ 4.30 | Dutch cover | $17.63 | 4.30 | $58.18 | +23% | — | pending |
Houston Dynamo win in Portland Timbers v Houston Dynamo · Match result @ 4.30 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 4.30 | $16.50 | +23% | — | pending |
Portland Timbers win in Portland Timbers v Houston Dynamo · Match result @ 1.81 | Steam chaser | $5.00 | 1.81 | $4.05 | — | — | pending |
Under in Portland Timbers v Houston Dynamo · Over/Under 2.5 goals @ 2.31 | WC KO unders | $10.00 | 2.31 | $13.10 | +2% | — | pending |
Draw in Portland Timbers v Houston Dynamo · Match result @ 4.22 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 4.22 | $16.10 | +6% | — | pending |
Houston Dynamo win in Portland Timbers v Houston Dynamo · Match result @ 4.30 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 4.30 | $16.50 | +23% | — | pending |
Houston Dynamo win in Portland Timbers v Houston Dynamo · Match result @ 4.08 | Portfolio | $3.13 | 4.08 | $9.64 | +7% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers win | 54% | 46% | 2.06 | fair |
| Houston Dynamo win | 23% | 29% | 351.00 | value: +9976% |
| Draw | 23% | 25% | 41.00 | value: +926% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 56% | 1.57 | fair |
| Under | 40% | 44% | 2.38 | value: +5% |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo win | 3.15 | 28.50 | +804.8% | |
| Draw | 3.70 | 5.88 | +58.8% | |
| Portland Timbers win | 2.06 | 1.15 | -44.2% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Providence Park |