← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sat, Nov 7, 09:00 PM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FC Cincinnati win in FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC · Match result @ 2.61 | Mls sim value | $5.00 | 2.61 | $8.05 | +11% | — | pending |
Draw in FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC · Match result @ 3.86 | Dutch cover | $2.59 | 3.86 | $7.41 | — | — | pending |
FC Cincinnati win in FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC · Match result @ 2.58 | Dutch cover | $17.41 | 2.58 | $27.51 | +10% | — | pending |
FC Cincinnati win in FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC · Match result @ 2.58 | Steam chaser | $5.00 | 2.58 | $7.90 | — | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati win | 38% | 43% | 3.45 | value: +47% |
| Nashville SC win | 38% | 33% | 2.70 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 4.10 | fair |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC win | 1.87 | 2.47 | +32.1% | |
| Draw | 4.10 | 3.80 | -7.3% | |
| FC Cincinnati win | 3.45 | 2.55 | -26.1% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | TQL Stadium |