← Major League Soccer 2026 · Wed, Oct 28, 11:30 PM UTC · scheduled
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC win | 48% | 47% | 2.03 | fair |
| DC United win | 27% | 27% | 3.80 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 26% | 4.00 | value: +4% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DC United win | 3.35 | 3.45 | +3.0% | |
| Draw | 3.90 | 3.80 | -2.6% | |
| Toronto FC win | 1.93 | 1.93 | 0.0% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | BMO Field |