← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sat, Nov 7, 09:00 PM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Toronto FC win in Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC · Match result @ 6.50 leg 2: Draw in New York Red Bulls v Atlanta United FC · Match result @ 4.32 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 28.08 | $135.40 | +18% | — | pending |
leg 1: Toronto FC win in Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC · Match result @ 6.50 leg 2: Draw in New York Red Bulls v Atlanta United FC · Match result @ 4.32 | WC parlay | $5.00 | 28.08 | $135.40 | +18% | — | pending |
Draw in New York Red Bulls v Atlanta United FC · Match result @ 4.32 | WC upset hunter | $5.00 | 4.32 | $16.60 | +3% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls win | 50% | 53% | 1.93 | fair |
| Atlanta United FC win | 27% | 24% | 3.69 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | 4.40 | value: +5% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC win | 3.30 | 3.46 | +4.8% | |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.30 | +7.5% | |
| New York Red Bulls win | 1.93 | 1.86 | -3.6% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Sports Illustrated Stadium |