MLS fixtures sim 2026-11-08 (autopilot)

← all runs · poisson_tw v2 · 10,000 iterations · seed 424242 · as of 2026-11-08

Who wins each match

Date	Stage	Match	Home	Draw	Away	3+ goals	BTTS
11/8/2026	regular	Seattle Sounders v Los Angeles FC	34.5%	27.5%	38.0%	48%	53%
11/8/2026	regular	FC Dallas v Colorado Rapids	53.9%	23.3%	22.8%	59%	59%
11/8/2026	regular	Houston Dynamo v St. Louis City	48.4%	25.5%	26.1%	52%	55%
11/8/2026	regular	Real Salt Lake v Los Angeles Galaxy	49.7%	23.8%	26.6%	60%	61%
11/8/2026	regular	Minnesota United FC v San Jose Earthquakes	50.1%	23.6%	26.4%	61%	61%
11/8/2026	regular	Austin v Portland Timbers	38.6%	25.2%	36.2%	57%	61%
11/8/2026	regular	San Diego v Sporting Kansas City	72.9%	15.6%	11.5%	73%	61%

Specthe reproducible recipe — same spec + seed = identical run

{
  "to": "2026-11-24",
  "from": "2026-11-08",
  "kind": "fixtures",
  "name": "MLS fixtures sim 2026-11-08 (autopilot)",
  "as_of": "2026-11-08",
  "model": {
    "shrinkage": 2
  },
  "competition": "MLS"
}