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MLS fixtures sim 2026-09-29 (autopilot)

← all runs · poisson_tw v2 · 10,000 iterations · seed 424242 · as of 2026-09-29

Who wins each match

DateStageMatchHomeDrawAway3+ goalsBTTS
10/2/2026regularSeattle Sounders v Sporting Kansas City
66.2%
19.6%
14.3%
61%55%
10/10/2026regularToronto FC v CF Montreal
46.3%
26.5%
27.2%
49%53%
10/10/2026regularChicago Fire v New York City FC
42.2%
25.2%
32.7%
57%60%
10/10/2026regularOrlando City SC v Columbus Crew
41.5%
23.3%
35.2%
66%67%
10/10/2026regularPhiladelphia Union v Real Salt Lake
50.1%
24.7%
25.3%
55%57%
10/10/2026regularNew York Red Bulls v San Diego
35.4%
24.4%
40.2%
61%63%
10/10/2026regularAtlanta United FC v FC Cincinnati
34.9%
23.8%
41.3%
64%65%
10/10/2026regularNew England Revolution v Seattle Sounders
36.4%
27.4%
36.3%
48%54%
10/10/2026regularInter Miami v DC United
75.7%
13.8%
10.5%
79%65%
10/10/2026regularCharlotte v FC Dallas
44.4%
25.9%
29.7%
53%56%
10/11/2026regularSporting Kansas City v Portland Timbers
32.9%
23.1%
44.0%
67%67%
10/11/2026regularMinnesota United FC v Houston Dynamo
46.9%
26.7%
26.3%
48%52%
10/11/2026regularAustin v Nashville SC
30.3%
27.4%
42.4%
47%52%
10/11/2026regularColorado Rapids v San Jose Earthquakes
44.3%
23.5%
32.1%
64%65%
10/11/2026regularLos Angeles FC v Vancouver Whitecaps
48.1%
24.8%
27.1%
56%58%
10/11/2026regularSt. Louis City v Los Angeles Galaxy
45.8%
23.9%
30.3%
62%63%
10/14/2026regularToronto FC v Orlando City SC
37.5%
25.2%
37.3%
58%61%
10/14/2026regularColumbus Crew v Charlotte
49.7%
24.8%
25.5%
55%57%
10/14/2026regularCF Montreal v Atlanta United FC
43.7%
25.8%
30.5%
54%57%
10/14/2026regularDC United v New York Red Bulls
37.0%
25.3%
37.6%
57%60%
10/14/2026regularFC Cincinnati v New England Revolution
55.6%
21.6%
22.8%
66%64%
10/14/2026regularInter Miami v New York City FC
56.2%
20.9%
22.9%
69%67%

Specthe reproducible recipe — same spec + seed = identical run

{
  "to": "2026-10-15",
  "from": "2026-09-29",
  "kind": "fixtures",
  "name": "MLS fixtures sim 2026-09-29 (autopilot)",
  "as_of": "2026-09-29",
  "model": {
    "shrinkage": 2
  },
  "competition": "MLS"
}