← Major League Soccer 2026 · Wed, Oct 14, 11:30 PM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Red Bulls win in DC United v New York Red Bulls · Match result @ 3.80 | Portfolio | $11.34 | 3.80 | $31.75 | +20% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DC United win | 52% | 37% | 1.92 | fair |
| New York Red Bulls win | 25% | 38% | 4.00 | value: +50% |
| Draw | 23% | 25% | 4.20 | value: +6% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls win | 4.00 | 3.55 | -11.3% | |
| Draw | 3.98 | 3.95 | -0.6% | |
| DC United win | 1.73 | 1.89 | +9.2% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Audi Field |