← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sat, Oct 10, 05:00 PM UTC · scheduled
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC win | 50% | 46% | 2.05 | fair |
| CF Montreal win | 26% | 27% | 3.90 | value: +6% |
| Draw | 24% | 27% | 4.20 | value: +11% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montreal win | 3.90 | 3.50 | -10.3% | |
| Draw | 4.10 | 3.80 | -7.3% | |
| Toronto FC win | 1.73 | 1.93 | +11.9% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | BMO Field |