← Major League Soccer 2026 · Sun, Oct 11, 01:30 AM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
San Jose Earthquakes win in Colorado Rapids v San Jose Earthquakes · Match result @ 3.70 | Portfolio | $4.77 | 3.70 | $12.88 | +8% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids win | 50% | 44% | 1.96 | fair |
| San Jose Earthquakes win | 25% | 32% | 4.10 | value: +32% |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | 4.10 | fair |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 64% | 1.60 | fair |
| Under | 40% | 36% | 2.35 | fair |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes win | 4.00 | 3.70 | -7.5% | |
| Draw | 4.00 | 3.80 | -5.0% | |
| Colorado Rapids win | 1.71 | 1.88 | +9.6% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | Dick's Sporting Goods Park |