← Major League Soccer 2026 · Wed, Oct 14, 11:30 PM UTC · scheduled
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati win | 48% | 56% | 2.07 | value: +15% |
| New England Revolution win | 29% | 23% | 4.10 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 22% | 4.50 | fair |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution win | 3.05 | 3.90 | +27.9% | |
| Draw | 4.03 | 4.30 | +6.8% | |
| FC Cincinnati win | 2.00 | 1.74 | -13.0% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | TQL Stadium |