← Major League Soccer 2026 · Wed, Oct 14, 11:30 PM UTC · scheduled
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Orlando City SC win in Toronto FC v Orlando City SC · Match result @ 3.05 | Portfolio | $4.27 | 3.05 | $8.75 | +6% | — | pending |
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC win | 42% | 37% | 2.35 | fair |
| Orlando City SC win | 34% | 37% | 3.05 | value: +14% |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | 4.10 | value: +3% |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC win | 2.58 | 2.92 | +13.2% | |
| Draw | 3.95 | 3.89 | -1.5% | |
| Toronto FC win | 2.30 | 2.16 | -6.3% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| venue | BMO Field |