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MLS fixtures sim 2026-11-05 (autopilot)

← all runs Β· poisson_tw v2 Β· 10,000 iterations Β· seed 424242 Β· as of 2026-11-05

Who wins each match

DateStageMatchHomeDrawAway3+ goalsBTTS
11/5/2026regularNew York City FC v Los Angeles FC
34.4%
27.1%
38.5%
49%54%
11/7/2026regularOrlando City SC v New England Revolution
51.1%
22.7%
26.2%
65%64%
11/7/2026regularPhiladelphia Union v Toronto FC
59.3%
23.0%
17.7%
53%52%
11/7/2026regularNew York Red Bulls v Atlanta United FC
52.6%
23.8%
23.6%
57%58%
11/7/2026regularChicago Fire v Columbus Crew
42.6%
23.8%
33.6%
64%65%
11/7/2026regularCF Montreal v Vancouver Whitecaps
22.7%
23.4%
53.9%
58%58%
11/7/2026regularDC United v New York City FC
29.7%
26.1%
44.1%
52%56%
11/7/2026regularFC Cincinnati v Nashville SC
42.5%
24.7%
32.8%
59%62%
11/7/2026regularInter Miami v Charlotte
60.1%
19.8%
20.1%
71%67%
11/8/2026regularSeattle Sounders v Los Angeles FC
34.6%
27.5%
37.9%
48%53%
11/8/2026regularFC Dallas v Colorado Rapids
53.9%
23.3%
22.9%
59%59%
11/8/2026regularHouston Dynamo v St. Louis City
48.4%
25.5%
26.1%
52%55%
11/8/2026regularReal Salt Lake v Los Angeles Galaxy
49.7%
23.7%
26.6%
60%61%
11/8/2026regularMinnesota United FC v San Jose Earthquakes
50.1%
23.6%
26.4%
61%62%
11/8/2026regularAustin v Portland Timbers
38.5%
25.2%
36.2%
57%61%
11/8/2026regularSan Diego v Sporting Kansas City
72.9%
15.6%
11.5%
73%61%

Specthe reproducible recipe β€” same spec + seed = identical run

{
  "to": "2026-11-21",
  "from": "2026-11-05",
  "kind": "fixtures",
  "name": "MLS fixtures sim 2026-11-05 (autopilot)",
  "as_of": "2026-11-05",
  "model": {
    "shrinkage": 2
  },
  "competition": "MLS"
}