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MLS fixtures sim 2026-10-31 (autopilot)

← all runs · poisson_tw v2 · 10,000 iterations · seed 424242 · as of 2026-10-31

Who wins each match

DateStageMatchHomeDrawAway3+ goalsBTTS
10/31/2026regularCharlotte v Orlando City SC
49.8%
23.4%
26.8%
62%62%
10/31/2026regularNew York City FC v CF Montreal
61.0%
22.3%
16.7%
55%52%
10/31/2026regularSporting Kansas City v FC Dallas
29.5%
23.5%
47.0%
63%64%
10/31/2026regularColumbus Crew v DC United
64.7%
19.8%
15.5%
63%57%
10/31/2026regularFC Cincinnati v Philadelphia Union
46.3%
23.1%
30.6%
65%66%
10/31/2026regularSt. Louis City v San Diego
35.1%
24.5%
40.4%
61%63%
10/31/2026regularSan Jose Earthquakes v Real Salt Lake
45.6%
23.9%
30.5%
62%64%
10/31/2026regularLos Angeles Galaxy v Austin
53.5%
23.1%
23.4%
60%60%
11/1/2026regularColorado Rapids v Chicago Fire
42.5%
24.1%
33.4%
62%64%
11/1/2026regularVancouver Whitecaps v Seattle Sounders
54.3%
24.3%
21.3%
53%53%
11/1/2026regularAtlanta United FC v Toronto FC
45.4%
26.7%
27.8%
48%53%
11/1/2026regularLos Angeles FC v Minnesota United FC
59.1%
22.9%
18.0%
54%53%
11/1/2026regularNashville SC v New York Red Bulls
55.8%
23.8%
20.4%
54%54%
11/2/2026regularNew England Revolution v Inter Miami
31.8%
21.9%
46.3%
71%71%
11/2/2026regularPortland Timbers v Houston Dynamo
46.3%
25.0%
28.7%
56%59%
11/5/2026regularNew York City FC v Los Angeles FC
34.4%
27.1%
38.5%
49%54%
11/7/2026regularOrlando City SC v New England Revolution
51.1%
22.7%
26.2%
65%64%
11/7/2026regularPhiladelphia Union v Toronto FC
59.4%
23.0%
17.7%
53%52%
11/7/2026regularNew York Red Bulls v Atlanta United FC
52.6%
23.8%
23.6%
57%58%
11/7/2026regularChicago Fire v Columbus Crew
42.6%
23.8%
33.6%
64%65%
11/7/2026regularCF Montreal v Vancouver Whitecaps
22.7%
23.4%
53.9%
58%58%
11/7/2026regularDC United v New York City FC
29.7%
26.1%
44.1%
52%56%
11/7/2026regularFC Cincinnati v Nashville SC
42.5%
24.7%
32.8%
59%62%
11/7/2026regularInter Miami v Charlotte
60.1%
19.8%
20.1%
71%67%
11/8/2026regularSeattle Sounders v Los Angeles FC
34.6%
27.5%
38.0%
48%53%
11/8/2026regularFC Dallas v Colorado Rapids
53.9%
23.3%
22.8%
59%59%
11/8/2026regularHouston Dynamo v St. Louis City
48.3%
25.5%
26.1%
52%55%
11/8/2026regularReal Salt Lake v Los Angeles Galaxy
49.6%
23.8%
26.6%
60%61%
11/8/2026regularMinnesota United FC v San Jose Earthquakes
50.1%
23.6%
26.4%
61%62%
11/8/2026regularAustin v Portland Timbers
38.5%
25.2%
36.3%
58%61%
11/8/2026regularSan Diego v Sporting Kansas City
72.9%
15.6%
11.5%
73%61%

Specthe reproducible recipe — same spec + seed = identical run

{
  "to": "2026-11-16",
  "from": "2026-10-31",
  "kind": "fixtures",
  "name": "MLS fixtures sim 2026-10-31 (autopilot)",
  "as_of": "2026-10-31",
  "model": {
    "shrinkage": 2
  },
  "competition": "MLS"
}