← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Sep 19, 01:38 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Connor Prielipp (ERA 5.24, WHIP 1.34) · home: Grayson Rodriguez (ERA 6.1, WHIP 1.56)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Angels win in Los Angeles Angels v Minnesota Twins · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.01 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 2.01 | $10.10 | +5% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins win | 53% | 1.90 |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 47% | 3.29 |
across 9 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins win | 1.76 | 1.36 | -22.7% | |
| Los Angeles Angels win | 1.90 | 3.29 | +73.3% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Los Angeles Angels | Minnesota Twins |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1426.67 | 1447.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.72 | -10.51 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.00 |