← Major League Baseball 2026 · Wed, Sep 23, 02:10 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Michael King (ERA 3.03, WHIP 1.16)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Dodgers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v San Diego Padres · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.83 | Portfolio | $8.45 | 1.83 | $7.01 | +4% | +7.01 | won |
leg 1: Milwaukee Brewers win in Philadelphia Phillies v Milwaukee Brewers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.20 lost leg 2: Los Angeles Dodgers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v San Diego Padres · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.83 won leg 3: Houston Astros win in Seattle Mariners v Houston Astros · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.29 won | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 9.21 | $16.42 | +36% | -2.00 | lost |
Los Angeles Dodgers win in Los Angeles Dodgers v San Diego Padres · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.83 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.83 | $8.30 | +12% | +8.30 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 57% | 1.86 |
| San Diego Padres win | 43% | 2.46 |
across 7 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres win | 2.40 | 2.05 | -14.5% | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 1.52 | 1.76 | +15.7% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | 7 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Los Angeles Dodgers | San Diego Padres |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| elo | 1590.74 | 1548.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.16 | 13.26 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 2.25 | 2.25 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.70 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 7.10 |