← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sat, Sep 26, 11:10 PM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Jose Quintana (ERA 5.4, WHIP 1.51) · home: Davis Martin (ERA 3.84, WHIP 1.29)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chicago White Sox win in Chicago White Sox v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.48 | Pitcher edge | $10.00 | 1.48 | $4.80 | +6% | -10.00 | lost |
Chicago White Sox win in Chicago White Sox v Colorado Rockies · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.48 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 1.48 | $4.80 | +6% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox win | 65% | 1.52 |
| Colorado Rockies win | 35% | 3.08 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies win | 2.59 | 2.94 | +13.6% | |
| Chicago White Sox win | 1.50 | 1.44 | -4.2% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| Chicago White Sox | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chicago White Sox | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| elo | 1503.27 | 1366.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.60 | -11.39 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 0.98 | 0.98 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 6.10 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 6.40 | 3.80 |