← Major League Baseball 2026 · Sun, Sep 20, 01:10 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: · home: Tarik Skubal (ERA 2.7, WHIP 0.95)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
leg 1: Portland Timbers win in Portland Timbers v Atlanta United FC · Match result @ 2.12 leg 2: San Francisco Giants win in Los Angeles Dodgers v San Francisco Giants · Match winner (2-way) @ 3.66 leg 3: Cleveland Guardians win in Cleveland Guardians v Oakland Athletics · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.57 | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 12.17 | $22.34 | +37% | — | pending |
San Francisco Giants win in Los Angeles Dodgers v San Francisco Giants · Match winner (2-way) @ 3.66 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 3.66 | $26.57 | +8% | -10.00 | lost |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 67% | 1.60 |
| San Francisco Giants win | 33% | 5.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants win | 2.66 | 5.90 | +122.0% | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers win | 1.45 | 1.15 | -20.5% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | — | 10 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Los Angeles Dodgers | San Francisco Giants |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 18.00 | 18.00 |
| elo | 1586.58 | 1465.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.48 | 0.92 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.90 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.80 |