← Major League Baseball 2026 · Thu, Sep 24, 01:40 AM UTC
Probable pitchers: away: Walbert Ureña (ERA 2.74, WHIP 1.21) · home: Jeffrey Springs (ERA 6.18, WHIP 1.47)
| Bet | Strategy | Stake | Odds | To win | Model edge | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oakland Athletics win in Oakland Athletics v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.16 | Portfolio | $8.65 | 2.16 | $10.03 | +6% | +10.03 | won |
leg 1: Oakland Athletics win in Oakland Athletics v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.01 won leg 2: Detroit Tigers win in Detroit Tigers v Washington Nationals · Match winner (2-way) @ 1.76 lost leg 3: Philadelphia Phillies win in Philadelphia Phillies v Milwaukee Brewers · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.14 lost | Chaos parlay | $2.00 | 7.58 | $13.16 | +17% | -2.00 | lost |
Oakland Athletics win in Oakland Athletics v Los Angeles Angels · Match winner (2-way) @ 2.01 | Elo value MLB | $10.00 | 2.01 | $10.10 | +6% | +10.10 | won |
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels win | 51% | 61.00 |
| Oakland Athletics win | 49% | 2.16 |
across 10 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Trend | First | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels win | 1.75 | 32.76 | +1774.4% | |
| Oakland Athletics win | 1.93 | 1.12 | -42.0% |
daily consensus price (median across books). A shortening price means money is arriving on that outcome.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Oakland Athletics | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — | 7 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oakland Athletics | Los Angeles Angels |
|---|---|---|
| congestion 21d | 17.00 | 17.00 |
| elo | 1409.97 | 1417.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.92 | -7.43 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| runs against avg (last 10) | 7.20 | 5.30 |
| runs for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.80 |